Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Gineta vs Almagro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Almagro in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almagro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
La Gineta
15%
Draws
73%
Almagro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almagro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Almagro lately — more wins on the board than La Gineta.
  • 12% — that's where the model lands on La Gineta taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
La Gineta Clean Sheet 20%
Almagro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Gineta Almagro
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 0.97 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Almagro vs La Gineta
2:1
Jan 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs Almagro
1:1
Apr 2, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs Almagro
2:3
Oct 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Almagro vs La Gineta
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Gineta 40 / 100
Almagro 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Gineta Almagro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Gineta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almagro let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: La Gineta scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Almagro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Almagro
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Gineta

(Home)
15 May
Almagro
2 : 1
La Gineta
08 May
La Gineta
0 : 1
Villarrubia
01 May
Illescas
2 : 1
La Gineta
24 Apr
La Gineta
0 : 0
Manchego Ciudad Real
17 Apr
Marchamalo
3 : 1
La Gineta
Page 1 of 6

Almagro

(Away)
06 Jun
Illescas
2 : 0
Almagro
03 Jun
Almagro
0 : 3
CD Pedroneras
30 May
Almagro
0 : 1
Conquense
26 May
Almagro
3 : 2
Illescas
23 May
Madridejos
2 : 3
Almagro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Talavera 38 25 9 4 85:27 84
2 UD Almansa 38 24 7 7 62:32 79
3 Quintanar del Rey 38 21 12 5 48:19 75
4 Manzanares 38 21 10 7 59:24 73
5 Madridejos 38 20 12 6 43:21 72
6 Villarrubia 38 17 14 7 50:35 65
7 Marchamalo 38 17 8 13 55:51 59
8 Mora CF 38 16 9 13 51:39 57
9 Villarrobledo 38 15 9 14 58:49 54
10 CD Puertollano 38 14 11 13 54:46 53
11 CD Pedroneras 38 14 9 15 45:37 51
12 Toledo 2 38 16 2 20 47:55 50
13 Atletico Ibanes 38 12 12 14 42:40 48
14 Albacete B 38 13 8 17 59:56 47
15 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 13 7 18 47:57 46
16 Almagro 38 11 11 16 43:44 44
17 La Gineta 38 11 10 17 39:53 43
18 Daimiel 38 11 7 20 39:67 40
19 Alcazar 38 2 5 31 21:117 11
20 Hellin Deportivo 38 0 2 36 3:81 2
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)