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La Granja vs Penaranda de Bracamonte

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 game between La Granja and Penaranda de Bracamonte finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Granja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
La Granja
30%
Draws
54%
Penaranda de Bracamonte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Penaranda de Bracamonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Penaranda de Bracamonte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans La Granja's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
La Granja Clean Sheet 20%
Penaranda de Bracamonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Granja Penaranda de Bracamonte
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Granja vs Penaranda de Bracamonte
3:1
Apr 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Penaranda de Bracamonte vs La Granja
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Granja 36 / 100
Penaranda de Bracamonte 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Granja Penaranda de Bracamonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

La Granja's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Penaranda de Bracamonte let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: La Granja remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

La Granja VS Penaranda de Bracamonte
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

La Granja

(Home)
21 Aug
La Granja
1 : 4
Gimnastica Segoviana
20 Jun
Becerril
2 : 1
La Granja
06 Jun
La Baneza
2 : 0
La Granja
29 May
La Granja
0 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS B
22 May
Santa Marta Tormes
0 : 0
La Granja
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Penaranda de Bracamonte

(Away)
20 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
3 : 1
Real Burgos CF
13 Jun
CD Cebrerena
2 : 0
Penaranda de Bracamonte
05 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
0 : 0
Bupolsa
30 May
Almazan
4 : 2
Penaranda de Bracamonte
22 May
Penaranda de Bracamonte
1 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
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