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La Luz vs Club Oriental De Futbol

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Aguiar T.
74' Event
Colman G.
(Penalty)
75'
Gonzalez J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2025 game between La Luz and Club Oriental De Futbol finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
La Luz
28%
Draws
22%
Club Oriental De Futbol
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: La Luz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Club Oriental De Futbol come out ahead of La Luz on wins alone.
  • Model gives La Luz a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
La Luz Clean Sheet 68%
Club Oriental De Futbol Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Luz Club Oriental De Futbol
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 14 10
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Segunda Division
Club Oriental De Futbol vs La Luz
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Segunda Division
La Luz vs Club Oriental De Futbol
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Segunda Division
Club Oriental De Futbol vs La Luz
2:2
Apr 5, 2025 Segunda Division
La Luz vs Club Oriental De Futbol
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Segunda Division
La Luz vs Club Oriental De Futbol
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Luz Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguiar T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Club Oriental De Futbol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Luz 59 / 100
Club Oriental De Futbol 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Luz Club Oriental De Futbol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Luz found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Club Oriental De Futbol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

La Luz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

La Luz VS Club Oriental De Futbol
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Albion26155633:1750
2Colon26138532:1747
3Central Esp.261210429:1646
4Atenas26135835:2344
5Maldonado26117831:2140
6Club Oriental De Futbol26108832:2938
7Tacuarembo26910728:2537
8Fenix26107931:3037
9Rentistas261061033:3336
10La Luz26512926:3627
11Rampla Juniors25751322:2826
12Cerrito26581320:3623
13Club Atletico Artigas254101128:4122
14Uruguay Montevideo FC26451716:4417