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La Luz vs Tacuarembo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Barreto L.
45' Event
Vega D.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between La Luz and Tacuarembo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Luz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
La Luz
30%
Draws
18%
Tacuarembo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: La Luz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and La Luz come out ahead of Tacuarembo on wins alone.
  • La Luz are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
La Luz Clean Sheet 68%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Luz Tacuarembo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.89 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 Segunda Division
La Luz vs Tacuarembo
2:0
Mar 17, 2026 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs La Luz
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs La Luz
1:1
Jun 7, 2025 Segunda Division
La Luz vs Tacuarembo
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs La Luz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Luz Compare

Top Goalscorer Barreto L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vega D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tacuarembo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Luz 59 / 100
Tacuarembo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Luz Tacuarembo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Luz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacuarembo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

La Luz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: La Luz scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

La Luz VS Tacuarembo
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

La Luz

(Home)
04 Oct
La Luz
3 : 2
River Plate Montevideo
27 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
La Luz
19 Sept
La Luz
0 : 1
Atenas
12 Sept
Paysandu FC
0 : 1
La Luz
04 Sept
La Luz
1 : 3
Huracan FC
Page 1 of 6

Tacuarembo

(Away)
03 Oct
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Atenas
28 Sept
Paysandu FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
20 Sept
Tacuarembo
1 : 1
Huracan FC
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
06 Sept
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 Rentistas 21 9 6 6 26:23 33
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 21 8 8 5 29:22 32
4 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
5 River Plate Montevideo 21 8 6 7 31:26 30
6 Colon 21 8 6 7 20:23 30
7 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
8 Cerrito 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
10 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
11 Paysandu FC 21 7 4 10 26:28 25
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 21 6 6 9 16:23 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 21 4 5 12 19:31 17
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