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La Nucia vs Benidorm

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Espinar A.

AI Match Summary

Benidorm in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benidorm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
La Nucia
20%
Draws
32%
Benidorm
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Nucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • La Nucia have won more games recently than Benidorm.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on La Nucia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
La Nucia Clean Sheet 68%
Benidorm Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Nucia Benidorm
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Benidorm
0:1
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Benidorm vs La Nucia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Nucia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Benidorm Compare

Top Goalscorer Espinar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Nucia 86 / 100
Benidorm 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Nucia Benidorm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Nucia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: La Nucia scored in 73% of their last 37 outings.

Benidorm let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

La Nucia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

La Nucia VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Nucia

(Home)
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
12 Aug
Atzeneta
0 : 3
La Nucia
08 Aug
La Nucia
1 : 2
Alcoyano
05 Aug
La Nucia
1 : 0
CF Intercity
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
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Benidorm

(Away)
11 May
La Nucia
0 : 1
Benidorm
04 May
Benidorm
1 : 0
Rayo Ibense
27 Apr
Soneja
2 : 2
Benidorm
20 Apr
Benidorm
1 : 5
Castellon B
13 Apr
Torrellano
1 : 1
Benidorm
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 34 18 4 12 76:58 58
2 Roda 34 15 12 7 52:32 57
3 La Nucia 34 15 11 8 46:24 56
4 Castellonense 34 15 11 8 38:30 56
5 Utiel 34 14 12 8 38:31 54
6 Villarreal C 34 12 14 8 55:37 50
7 Atzeneta 34 14 8 12 36:34 50
8 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 37:36 49
9 Soneja 34 11 14 9 36:34 47
10 Atletico Saguntino 34 10 16 8 41:36 46
11 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
12 Levante B 34 13 5 16 34:39 44
13 Espanol de San Vicente 34 12 7 15 36:46 43
14 Crevillente 34 10 11 13 34:44 41
15 Torrellano 34 8 15 11 35:39 39
16 Benidorm 34 9 11 14 36:51 38
17 Patacona 34 5 12 17 35:59 27
18 Rayo Ibense 34 6 5 23 23:57 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 (Play Offs)