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La Palma CF vs Puente Genil

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Montenegro T.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 game between La Palma CF and Puente Genil finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puente Genil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
La Palma CF
15%
Draws
59%
Puente Genil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puente Genil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Puente Genil come out ahead of La Palma CF on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Puente Genil taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
La Palma CF Clean Sheet 20%
Puente Genil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Palma CF Puente Genil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
La Palma CF vs Puente Genil
0:1
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Puente Genil vs La Palma CF
1:1
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
La Palma CF vs Puente Genil
4:1
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Puente Genil vs La Palma CF
2:1
Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Puente Genil vs La Palma CF
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Palma CF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Puente Genil Compare

Top Goalscorer Montenegro T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Palma CF 16 / 100
Puente Genil 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Palma CF Puente Genil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puente Genil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Palma CF's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Puente Genil has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: La Palma CF remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Puente Genil
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

La Palma CF

(Home)
09 May
La Palma CF
1 : 2
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
04 May
Atletico Central
2 : 2
La Palma CF
01 May
Tomares UD
3 : 1
La Palma CF
27 Apr
La Palma CF
0 : 1
Puente Genil
13 Apr
Coria C.F.
0 : 1
La Palma CF
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Puente Genil

(Away)
06 Sept
Puente Genil
4 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
29 Aug
Pozoblanco
1 : 3
Puente Genil
03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0
Puente Genil
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
19 Apr
Jaen
2 : 1
Puente Genil
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puente Genil 34 20 11 3 63:24 71
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 21 5 8 49:20 68
3 CD Utrera 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
4 Atletico Central 34 17 8 9 46:27 59
5 Tomares UD 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Bollullos 34 16 6 12 41:34 54
7 Pozoblanco 34 14 10 10 41:36 52
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 14 8 12 41:35 50
9 San Roque de Lepe 34 12 10 12 29:31 46
10 AD Ceuta B 34 11 13 10 41:38 46
11 Cordoba B 34 10 15 9 34:36 45
12 Conil 34 12 8 14 41:40 44
13 Sevilla C 34 10 11 13 32:40 41
14 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 34:48 36
15 AD Cartaya 34 8 11 15 31:53 35
16 La Palma CF 34 6 11 17 33:57 29
17 Atletico Espeleno 34 5 10 19 30:57 25
18 Inter Sevilla 34 3 7 24 25:70 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 (Play Offs)