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La Roche W vs Lens W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Division 2 Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 Women 2022/2023 game between La Roche W and Lens W finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Roche W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
La Roche W
15%
Draws
49%
Lens W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lens W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Lens W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lens W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 Women 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
La Roche W Clean Sheet 20%
Lens W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Roche W Lens W
Matches Played 36 38
Wins 14 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
La Roche W vs Lens W
4:2
Dec 4, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Lens W vs La Roche W
3:2
Feb 27, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Lens W vs La Roche W
2:0
Oct 10, 2021 Seconde Ligue Women
La Roche W vs Lens W
0:0
Apr 4, 2021 Seconde Ligue Women
Lens W vs La Roche W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Roche W 10 / 100
Lens W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Roche W Lens W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lens W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lens W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 38 matches.

La Roche W found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (36 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Lens W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lens W
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Roche W

(Home)
11 Jan
Caen W
3 : 2
La Roche W
26 Jan
La Roche W
0 : 6
Paris FC W
12 Jan
La Roche W
2 : 1
Lorient W
06 Jan
Bordeaux W
3 : 2
La Roche W
19 Aug
La Roche W
0 : 4
Bordeaux W
Page 1 of 8

Lens W

(Away)
26 Sept
Auxerre W
1 : 0
Lens W
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Lens W
0 : 2
PSG W
29 Aug
Lens W
3 : 0
Metz W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lille W 22 18 1 3 49:14 55
2 Metz W 22 11 7 4 37:22 40
3 Strasbourg W 22 11 7 4 29:16 40
4 Le Mans W 22 10 4 8 30:31 34
5 Lens W 22 9 4 9 34:36 31
6 Orleans W 22 8 5 9 30:30 29
7 Nantes W 22 8 4 10 22:25 28
8 Saint-Malo W 22 7 5 10 21:28 26
9 Brest W 22 6 6 10 21:27 24
10 La Roche W 22 6 5 11 25:33 23
11 Issy W 22 7 1 14 21:31 22
12 CA Paris W 22 5 3 14 18:44 18
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2023/2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne W 22 18 2 2 82:13 56
2 Marseille W 22 16 3 3 61:17 51
3 Montauban W 22 13 4 5 46:31 43
4 Thonon Evian W 22 12 4 6 46:21 40
5 Nice W 22 12 2 8 38:34 38
6 Albi-Marssac W 22 10 0 12 35:40 30
7 Grenoble W 22 9 3 10 34:30 30
8 Toulouse W 22 7 4 11 39:38 25
9 Yzeure Allier W 22 7 3 12 29:41 24
10 Le Puy W 22 5 6 11 26:42 21
11 Clermont W 22 4 1 17 14:55 13
12 Nimes W 22 2 2 18 9:97 8
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2023/2024 (Main)