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La Serena vs Antofagasta

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio La Portada
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Gallegos Panozzo M.
26'
Aros V.
35' Event
Rojas D.
Assist: Hurtado B.

AI Match Summary

Antofagasta in this Copa Chile matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Antofagasta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
La Serena
28%
Draws
50%
Antofagasta
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Antofagasta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Antofagasta lately — more wins on the board than La Serena.
  • Model gives Antofagasta a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
La Serena Clean Sheet 10%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Serena Antofagasta
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Copa Chile
La Serena vs Antofagasta
2:4
Jun 21, 2026 Copa Chile
Antofagasta vs La Serena
4:2
Jul 14, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
La Serena vs Antofagasta
2:1
Feb 24, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs La Serena
0:1
Oct 15, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs La Serena
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Serena Compare

Top Goalscorer Escalante G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Antofagasta Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallegos Panozzo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rojas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Serena 22 / 100
Antofagasta 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Serena Antofagasta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: La Serena scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Antofagasta let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

La Serena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

La Serena VS Antofagasta
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo52307:39
2Deportes Iquique52219:58
3Limache522110:88
4San Marcos de Arica50142:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica550014:515
2Everton51229:95
3Copiapo51133:94
4San Luis50327:103
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Antofagasta541011:513
2La Serena52127:97
3Cobreloa51226:65
4Cobresal50232:62
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. De Chile531112:710
2Union La Calera52219:68
3San Felipe52126:77
4S. Wanderers51047:143
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo531112:810
2O Higgins522110:78
3Recoleta51225:85
4U. Espanola51134:84
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nublense53118:510
2Curico Unido52217:68
3Rangers52034:66
4U. De Concepcion51137:94
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportes Santa Cruz54109:313
2A. Italiano53028:79
3Palestino52129:77
4Magallanes50055:140
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Puerto Montt53118:410
2D. Concepcion53118:610
3Deportes Temuco51224:75
4Huachipato51046:93