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La Solana vs Marchamalo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Crespo G.
Own Goal
33' Event
Ramos A.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Rodrigo

AI Match Summary

Marchamalo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marchamalo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
La Solana
15%
Draws
48%
Marchamalo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marchamalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Marchamalo have won more games recently than La Solana.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
La Solana Clean Sheet 68%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Solana Marchamalo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.8 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Solana vs Marchamalo
2:5
Oct 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs La Solana
1:1
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs La Solana
1:0
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Solana vs Marchamalo
0:3
Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs La Solana
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Solana Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Marchamalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubio A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bueno J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Solana 41 / 100
Marchamalo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Solana Marchamalo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Solana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Marchamalo conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

La Solana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

La Solana's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

La Solana VS Marchamalo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

La Solana

(Home)
10 May
Puertollano C.F.
1 : 0
La Solana
03 May
La Solana
4 : 1
San Clemente
25 Apr
Villacanas
1 : 1
La Solana
19 Apr
La Solana
1 : 0
Illescas
11 Apr
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0
La Solana
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Marchamalo

(Away)
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0
Guadalajara
15 Aug
Pozuelo de Alarcon
0 : 1
Marchamalo
12 Aug
CD Daganzo
0 : 2
Marchamalo
10 May
Sonseca
1 : 0
Marchamalo
03 May
Marchamalo
0 : 4
Azuqueca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)