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La Union (Malacitano) vs Deportiva Minera Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Macias A.
59' Event
Carrasco K.
90' Event
Raigal J.

AI Match Summary

Deportiva Minera in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportiva Minera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
La Union (Malacitano)
20%
Draws
46%
Deportiva Minera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportiva Minera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Deportiva Minera have won more games recently than La Union (Malacitano).
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
La Union (Malacitano) Clean Sheet 68%
Deportiva Minera Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Union (Malacitano) Deportiva Minera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.33 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs Deportiva Minera
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Deportiva Minera vs La Union (Malacitano)
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs Deportiva Minera
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Deportiva Minera vs La Union (Malacitano)
3:1
Aug 16, 2023 Club Friendly
La Union (Malacitano) vs Deportiva Minera
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Union (Malacitano) Compare

Top Goalscorer Raigal J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Deportiva Minera Compare

Top Goalscorer Macias A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carrasco K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Union (Malacitano) 41 / 100
Deportiva Minera 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Union (Malacitano) Deportiva Minera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Union (Malacitano) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Union (Malacitano) found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Deportiva Minera let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: La Union (Malacitano) stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

La Union (Malacitano) VS Deportiva Minera
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

La Union (Malacitano)

(Home)
03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0
Puente Genil
26 Apr
CD Extremadura
4 : 2
La Union (Malacitano)
19 Apr
La Union (Malacitano)
4 : 1
UCAM Murcia
12 Apr
Jaen
1 : 0
La Union (Malacitano)
04 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0
La Union (Malacitano)
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Deportiva Minera

(Away)
04 Oct
Deportiva Minera
2 : 0
La Nucia
27 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
Deportiva Minera
20 Sept
Deportiva Minera
2 : 2
Orihuela
13 Sept
Mallorca B
0 : 0
Deportiva Minera
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)