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La Union vs Aucas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador Estadio del Complejo de La Union, Pujili
La Union Logo

La Union

Wed, Aug 12, 2026
1 - 2
08:00 PM
Aucas Logo

Aucas

Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Lino H.
79' Event
Mena A.
1' Event
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
La Union
20%
Draws
20%
Aucas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • La Union haven't matched Aucas's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on La Union taking it.
  • Aucas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aucas, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
La Union Clean Sheet 68%
Aucas Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Union Aucas
Matches Played 6 29
Wins 3 13
Draws 0 6
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Copa Ecuador
La Union vs Aucas
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Lino H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Aucas Compare

Top Goalscorer Mena A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Union 86 / 100
Aucas 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Union Aucas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: La Union scored in 83% of their last 6 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Aucas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Aucas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

La Union VS Aucas
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

La Union

(Home)
12 Aug
La Union
1 : 2
Aucas
02 Jun
La Union
1 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
12 Apr
La Union
1 : 0
Cumbaya
03 Jul
La Union
1 : 3
Bonita Banana
03 Jul
La Union
0 : 1
Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 2

Aucas

(Away)
25 Oct
Aucas
0 : 4
Barcelona SC
17 Oct
Aucas
1 : 1
LDU Quito
10 Oct
Independiente del Valle
2 : 1
Aucas
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2
Macara
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
LDU Quito -
TBD -
Africando 1
Independiente Juniors 2
Leones del Norte -
TBD -
Huaquillas FC 1
Rio Aguarico 0
Aucas -
TBD -
Guaranda 0
San Antonio 1
Dep. Cuenca -
TBD -
La Union 1
Cumbaya 0
Emelec -
TBD -
U.D. Juvenil 0
Daquilema 2
Guayaquil City -
TBD -
Astillero 2
22 de Julio 1
U. Catolica -
TBD -
Dunamis 1
EL Nacional 5
Orense -
TBD -
Domingo TSA 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle -
TBD -
Primero de Mayo 0
Dep. Santo Domingo 2
Manta -
TBD -
Nazareno 0
Nueve de Octubre 4
Mushuc Runa -
TBD -
Dep. Quito 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara -
TBD -
Quito 2
CD Cuenca Juniors 3
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
Insutec 4
Club Deportivo Ibarra 3
Libertad -
TBD -
Ind. Azogues 0
LDU Portoviejo 5
Delfin -
TBD -
Banos 2
Anaconda 1
Tecnico U. -
TBD -
Juventud Italiana 2
Atletico FC 1
1/16-finals
LDU Quito 2
Independiente Juniors 1
Leones del Norte 1
Huaquillas FC 0
Aucas 3
San Antonio 0
Dep. Cuenca 0
La Union 1
Emelec 0
Daquilema 1
Guayaquil City 1
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 4
EL Nacional 1
Orense 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 2
Dep. Santo Domingo 0
Manta 1
Nueve de Octubre 0
Mushuc Runa 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara 1
CD Cuenca Juniors 0
Barcelona SC 4
Insutec 2
Libertad 1
LDU Portoviejo 2
Delfin 2
Banos 0
Tecnico U. 0
Juventud Italiana 2
1/8-finals
LDU Quito 6
Leones del Norte 0
Aucas 2
La Union 1
Daquilema 0
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 3
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 1
Manta 0
Gualaceo 2
Macara 1
Barcelona SC 0
LDU Portoviejo 3
Delfin 1
Juventud Italiana 0
Quarter-finals
LDU Quito 1
Aucas 0
Astillero 0
U. Catolica 1
Independiente del Valle 2
Gualaceo 0
LDU Portoviejo 0
Delfin 2
Semi-finals
LDU Quito -
U. Catolica -
Independiente del Valle -
Delfin -
Final
TBD -
TBD -