Sport Picks
La Union vs Independiente del Valle
Ecuador
Copa Ecuador 2022 Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito 
Match Events
87'
87'
Carabajal M.
1'
1'
(Penalty)
1'
1'
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Independiente del Valle advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente del Valle
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Independiente del Valle carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on La Union taking it.
- Independiente del Valle arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Independiente del Valle, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
La Union Clean Sheet 10%
Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | La Union | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 6 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 25 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 3, 2022 Copa Ecuador
La Union vs Independiente del Valle
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
La Union 40 / 100
Independiente del Valle 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
La Union Independiente del Valle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
La Union found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (6 games).
Defensive concern: Independiente del Valle conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
La Union went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
La Union VS Independiente del Valle
1 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
La Union
(Home) 12 Aug
La Union
1 : 2 Aucas
02 Jun
La Union
1 : 0 Dep. Cuenca
12 Apr
La Union
1 : 0 Cumbaya
03 Jul
La Union
1 : 3 Bonita Banana
03 Jul
La Union
0 : 1 Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 2
12 Aug
La Union
1 : 2 Aucas
02 Jun
La Union
1 : 0 Dep. Cuenca
12 Apr
La Union
1 : 0 Cumbaya
03 Jul
La Union
1 : 3 Bonita Banana
03 Jul
La Union
0 : 1 Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 2
Independiente del Valle
(Away) 13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2 Flamengo RJ
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1 Macara
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1 Independiente del Valle
29 Aug
Independiente del Valle
2 : 2 U. Catolica
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1 Independiente del Valle
22 Aug
Leones del Norte
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
19 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 1 Independiente del Valle
08 Aug
LDU Quito
0 : 2 Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Manabita 0
Emelec 5
Leones del Norte 1
Aucas 4
Portoviejo 0
Nueve de Octubre 1
CD Penarol 2
Orense 4
Vargas Torres 3
Tecnico U. 2
CD Aampetra 2
U. Catolica 0
Olmedo 1
Mushuc Runa 2
Chacaritas 0
Cumbaya 2
Samborondon 0
Independiente del Valle 2
La Union 2
Macara 0
Manta 0
LDU Quito 1
Imbabura 2
Guayaquil City 1
Bonita Banana 2
Dep. Cuenca 1
EL Nacional 2
Barcelona SC 1
Independiente Juniors 1
Delfin 2
Insutec 0
Gualaceo 2
Semi-finals
Emelec 0
Aucas 2
Nueve de Octubre 2
Orense 1
Vargas Torres 1
CD Aampetra 0
Mushuc Runa 1
Cumbaya 0
Independiente del Valle 1
La Union 0
LDU Quito 1
Imbabura 2
Bonita Banana 1
EL Nacional 2
Delfin 2
Gualaceo 0
Final
Aucas 0
Nueve de Octubre 2
Vargas Torres 0
Mushuc Runa 1
Independiente del Valle 3
Imbabura 1
EL Nacional 3
Delfin 1
