Sport Picks

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La Union vs Macara

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Mejia O.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Congo L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with La Union advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
La Union
15%
Draws
46%
Macara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • La Union haven't matched Macara's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Macara arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor La Union, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
La Union Clean Sheet 16%
Macara Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Union Macara
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 3 14
Draws 0 6
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1 1.37
Goals Conceded 1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2022 Copa Ecuador
La Union vs Macara
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Congo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Macara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Union 30 / 100
Macara 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Union Macara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: La Union scored in 83% of their last 6 outings.

Macara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: La Union stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

La Union VS Macara
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

La Union

(Home)
12 Aug
La Union
1 : 2
Aucas
02 Jun
La Union
1 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
12 Apr
La Union
1 : 0
Cumbaya
03 Jul
La Union
1 : 3
Bonita Banana
03 Jul
La Union
0 : 1
Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 2

Macara

(Away)
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1
Macara
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2
Macara
25 Aug
Libertad
1 : 0
Macara
20 Aug
Macara
0 : 0
Santos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Manabita 0
Emelec 5
Leones del Norte 1
Aucas 4
Portoviejo 0
Nueve de Octubre 1
CD Penarol 2
Orense 4
Vargas Torres 3
Tecnico U. 2
CD Aampetra 2
U. Catolica 0
Olmedo 1
Mushuc Runa 2
Chacaritas 0
Cumbaya 2
Samborondon 0
Independiente del Valle 2
La Union 2
Macara 0
Manta 0
LDU Quito 1
Imbabura 2
Guayaquil City 1
Bonita Banana 2
Dep. Cuenca 1
EL Nacional 2
Barcelona SC 1
Independiente Juniors 1
Delfin 2
Insutec 0
Gualaceo 2
Semi-finals
Emelec 0
Aucas 2
Nueve de Octubre 2
Orense 1
Vargas Torres 1
CD Aampetra 0
Mushuc Runa 1
Cumbaya 0
Independiente del Valle 1
La Union 0
LDU Quito 1
Imbabura 2
Bonita Banana 1
EL Nacional 2
Delfin 2
Gualaceo 0
Final
Aucas 0
Nueve de Octubre 2
Vargas Torres 0
Mushuc Runa 1
Independiente del Valle 3
Imbabura 1
EL Nacional 3
Delfin 1