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La Virgen vs Calasanz de Soria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Perez E.
52' Event
Nieto D.
(Penalty)
72' Event
Nieto A.

AI Match Summary

La Virgen in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Virgen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
La Virgen
15%
Draws
37%
Calasanz de Soria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Virgen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to La Virgen lately — more wins on the board than Calasanz de Soria.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on La Virgen taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 19%
Calasanz de Soria Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Virgen Calasanz de Soria
Matches Played 34 5
Wins 14 2
Draws 8 1
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.09 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Calasanz de Soria
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Virgen Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nieto A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Calasanz de Soria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Virgen 67 / 100
Calasanz de Soria 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Virgen Calasanz de Soria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Virgen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Calasanz de Soria conceded in 80% of 5 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: La Virgen scored in 71% of their last 34 outings.

La Virgen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

La Virgen VS Calasanz de Soria
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

La Virgen

(Home)
04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0
La Virgen
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1
Palencia CA
19 Sept
Turegano
0 : 1
La Virgen
12 Sept
La Virgen
4 : 1
Calasanz de Soria
06 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
1 : 2
La Virgen
Page 1 of 7

Calasanz de Soria

(Away)
03 Oct
Calasanz de Soria
2 : 2
Villaralbo
26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0
Calasanz de Soria
19 Sept
Calasanz de Soria
3 : 2
Unionistas de Salamanca B
12 Sept
La Virgen
4 : 1
Calasanz de Soria
06 Sept
Calasanz de Soria
1 : 0
Guijuelo

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)