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La Virgen vs Mirandes B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Virgen host Mirandes B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. This one's hard to separate. Mirandes B have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while La Virgen have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.03. Past meetings favor Mirandes B slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.00, favoring La Virgen. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
La Virgen
15%
Draws
8%
Mirandes B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Virgen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to La Virgen lately — more wins on the board than Mirandes B.
  • Win probability leans La Virgen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 20%
Mirandes B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Virgen Mirandes B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mirandes B vs La Virgen
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Mirandes B
1:1
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mirandes B vs La Virgen
3:1
Jan 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Mirandes B
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mirandes B vs La Virgen
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Virgen 85 / 100
Mirandes B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Virgen Mirandes B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Virgen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirandes B let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

La Virgen's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

La Virgen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

La Virgen VS Mirandes B
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

La Virgen

(Home)
10 Oct
La Virgen
1 : 0
Mansilles
04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0
La Virgen
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1
Palencia CA
19 Sept
Turegano
0 : 1
La Virgen
12 Sept
La Virgen
4 : 1
Calasanz de Soria
Page 1 of 6

Mirandes B

(Away)
10 Oct
Mirandes B
0 : 2
Guijuelo
03 Oct
Mirandes B
1 : 2
Burgos CF B
27 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 0
Mirandes B
20 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 1
Leonesa B
13 Sept
Bembibre
1 : 1
Mirandes B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 6 4 2 0 10:2 14
2 Palencia CA 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
3 Leonesa B 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
4 Bembibre 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 Santa Marta Tormes 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
6 La Virgen 6 4 0 2 8:5 12
7 Mansilles 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
8 Arandina 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
9 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Almazan 6 1 4 1 10:12 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
12 Villaralbo 6 1 3 2 11:9 6
13 Guijuelo 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
14 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
15 Colegios Diocesanos 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
16 Turegano 6 0 3 3 5:9 3
17 Unionistas de Salamanca B 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
18 Mirandes B 6 0 1 5 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)