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La Virgen vs Ponferradina B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Blanco J.

AI Match Summary

La Virgen in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Virgen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
La Virgen
15%
Draws
8%
Ponferradina B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Virgen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • La Virgen have won more games recently than Ponferradina B.
  • Model gives La Virgen a 77% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 68%
Ponferradina B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Virgen Ponferradina B
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 2
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ponferradina B vs La Virgen
3:0
Nov 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Ponferradina B
1:0
Mar 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Ponferradina B
3:0
Oct 29, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ponferradina B vs La Virgen
0:0
May 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ponferradina B vs La Virgen
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Virgen Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Ponferradina B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Virgen 95 / 100
Ponferradina B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Virgen Ponferradina B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Virgen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ponferradina B conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: La Virgen scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

La Virgen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

La Virgen VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Virgen

(Home)
04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0
La Virgen
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1
Palencia CA
19 Sept
Turegano
0 : 1
La Virgen
12 Sept
La Virgen
4 : 1
Calasanz de Soria
06 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
1 : 2
La Virgen
Page 1 of 7

Ponferradina B

(Away)
11 May
Ponferradina B
1 : 3
Almazan
05 May
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0
Ponferradina B
01 May
Ponferradina B
1 : 2
Villaralbo
27 Apr
Real Avila
2 : 1
Ponferradina B
20 Apr
Ponferradina B
0 : 0
Bembibre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Avila 34 23 7 4 52:20 76
2 Salamanca CF UDS 34 21 10 3 62:16 73
3 Atletico Tordesillas 34 19 8 7 44:23 65
4 Leonesa B 34 18 9 7 52:26 63
5 Atletico Astorga 34 15 11 8 39:24 56
6 Palencia CA 34 15 10 9 41:26 55
7 Palencia CF 34 14 11 9 31:28 53
8 Becerril 34 15 6 13 38:42 51
9 Santa Marta Tormes 34 11 10 13 36:43 43
10 La Virgen 34 10 11 13 36:42 41
11 Almazan 34 11 8 15 34:42 41
12 Bembibre 34 10 11 13 34:39 41
13 Burgos CF B 34 10 10 14 30:39 40
14 Mirandes B 34 8 11 15 28:38 35
15 Villaralbo 34 8 9 17 30:45 33
16 CD Laguna (Valladolid) 34 8 5 21 27:57 29
17 Colegios Diocesanos 34 4 13 17 14:41 25
18 Ponferradina B 34 2 8 24 22:59 14
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2023/2024 (Play Offs)