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Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Kalju III

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Laanemaa Haapsalu play Kalju III in the Estonian Cup 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Laanemaa Haapsalu averaged 1.1 goals scored and 3.87 conceded. Kalju III averaged 1 goals scored and 3.73 conceded. In past meetings, Laanemaa Haapsalu won 1, Kalju III won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 18, 2018 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Laanemaa Haapsalu and 2.44 for Kalju III. This points to a Kalju III double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Laanemaa Haapsalu
15%
Draws
52%
Kalju III
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kalju III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Laanemaa Haapsalu picked up more points recently compared to Kalju III.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 2.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Laanemaa Haapsalu Clean Sheet 10%
Kalju III Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laanemaa Haapsalu Kalju III
Matches Played 31 11
Wins 5 3
Draws 1 0
Losses 25 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 3.87 3.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2018 Estonian Cup
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Kalju III
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laanemaa Haapsalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Enn K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Kalju III Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laanemaa Haapsalu 32 / 100
Kalju III 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laanemaa Haapsalu Kalju III

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kalju III or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.28
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Laanemaa Haapsalu attacking → ← attacking Kalju III

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laanemaa Haapsalu scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Kalju III let in goals in 100% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Laanemaa Haapsalu went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kalju III lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 9
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
3.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00