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Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Rumori Calcio

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2024/2025 Haapsalu Linnastaadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Laanemaa Haapsalu play Rumori Calcio in the Estonian Cup 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Laanemaa Haapsalu averaged 1.25 goals scored and 3.78 conceded. Rumori Calcio averaged 2.24 goals scored and 4.12 conceded. In past meetings, Laanemaa Haapsalu won 2, Rumori Calcio won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 23, 2024 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Laanemaa Haapsalu and 2.81 for Rumori Calcio. This points to a Rumori Calcio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Laanemaa Haapsalu
15%
Draws
45%
Rumori Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rumori Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Laanemaa Haapsalu picked up more points recently compared to Rumori Calcio.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 2.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Laanemaa Haapsalu Clean Sheet 10%
Rumori Calcio Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laanemaa Haapsalu Rumori Calcio
Matches Played 32 17
Wins 6 6
Draws 1 0
Losses 25 11
Goals Scored 1.25 2.24
Goals Conceded 3.78 4.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2024 Estonian Cup
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Rumori Calcio
5:1
Jul 25, 2021 Estonian Cup
Rumori Calcio vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
0:7

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laanemaa Haapsalu 38 / 100
Rumori Calcio 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laanemaa Haapsalu Rumori Calcio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rumori Calcio or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.1%
1.19
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Laanemaa Haapsalu attacking → ← attacking Rumori Calcio

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laanemaa Haapsalu scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Rumori Calcio let in goals in 88% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Laanemaa Haapsalu went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Rumori Calcio lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 18
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
3.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00