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Lae City vs Henderson Eels

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Simon E.
8'
Sub
Pride B. In: Kini F.
Out: Pride B.
24' Event
Tanito T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this OFC Champions League 2020 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Lae City
20%
Draws
58%
Henderson Eels
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Henderson Eels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Lae City have won more games recently than Henderson Eels.
  • Model gives Henderson Eels a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Lae City Clean Sheet 10%
Henderson Eels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lae City Henderson Eels
Matches Played 26 7
Wins 7 3
Draws 4 2
Losses 15 2
Goals Scored 2.04 3.43
Goals Conceded 2.65 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 2.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2020 OFC Champions League
Lae City vs Henderson Eels
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lae City Compare

Top Goalscorer Simon E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dabinyaba N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Henderson Eels Compare

Top Goalscorer Le'ai R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.57
Avg xA / game 1.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lae City 14 / 100
Henderson Eels 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lae City Henderson Eels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Henderson Eels Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Henderson Eels's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 7 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Lae City scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Recent resilience: Lae City stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lae City VS Henderson Eels
2.38 Goals Scored 3.67
2 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lae City

(Home)
15 Aug
Rewa
2 : 1
Lae City
12 Aug
Lae City
1 : 3
ABM Galaxy
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
18 Feb
Lae City
0 : 2
PNG Hekari
11 Feb
PNG Hekari
2 : 1
Lae City
Page 1 of 6

Henderson Eels

(Away)
21 Feb
Henderson Eels
3 : 2
Lautoka
18 Feb
Malampa Revivors
2 : 2
Henderson Eels
15 Feb
Lae City
3 : 3
Henderson Eels
07 Apr
Team Wellington
6 : 1
Henderson Eels
16 Feb
Henderson Eels
7 : 0
Morobe Wawens
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eastern Suburbs 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 ABM Galaxy 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
3 PNG Hekari 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Hienghene Sport 3 0 1 2 3:10 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malampa Revivors 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
2 Henderson Eels 3 1 2 0 8:7 5
3 Lae City 3 1 1 1 10:6 4
4 Lautoka 3 0 1 2 3:11 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magenta 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Solomon Warriors 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
3 Tiare 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
4 Tupapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Venus 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
3 Lupe ole Soaga 3 1 0 2 4:11 3
4 Ba 3 0 0 3 5:14 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)