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Lago Verde vs ITZ Sport

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lago Verde
15%
Draws
0%
ITZ Sport
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lago Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • ITZ Sport haven't matched Lago Verde's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lago Verde's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Lago Verde have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lago Verde Clean Sheet 20%
ITZ Sport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lago Verde ITZ Sport
Matches Played 17 24
Wins 11 7
Draws 3 7
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.47 0.83
Goals Conceded 1 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Maranhense 2
Lago Verde vs ITZ Sport
1:1
Oct 15, 2025 Maranhense 2
ITZ Sport vs Lago Verde
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lago Verde 85 / 100
ITZ Sport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lago Verde ITZ Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lago Verde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lago Verde found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (17 games).

ITZ Sport's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: ITZ Sport conceded in 79% of 24 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lago Verde VS ITZ Sport
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lago Verde

(Home)
25 Jul
Lago Verde
1 : 2
Araioses
22 Jul
Lago Verde
2 : 2
Pinheiro
18 Jul
Pinheiro
0 : 2
Lago Verde
15 Jul
Lago Verde
5 : 2
Expressinho
11 Jul
Expressinho
0 : 1
Lago Verde
Page 1 of 4

ITZ Sport

(Away)
01 Feb
Sampaio Correa
6 : 0
ITZ Sport
28 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Luminense
25 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Tuntum
21 Jan
Maranhao
1 : 0
ITZ Sport
17 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 1
Imperatriz
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Cordino EC 2
Sao Luis 3
Timon EC (MA) 0
Luminense 1
Americano Bacabal 1
ITZ Sport 4
Tupan 1
Lago Verde 6
Semi-finals
Sao Luis 1
Luminense 2
ITZ Sport 3
Lago Verde 2
Final
Luminense 1
ITZ Sport 0