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Lagun Artea vs Aoiz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013 game between Lagun Artea and Aoiz finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aoiz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lagun Artea
35%
Draws
37%
Aoiz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aoiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Lagun Artea's 1.37 goals per match outpaces what Aoiz have produced (1.03).
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lagun Artea Clean Sheet 20%
Aoiz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagun Artea Aoiz
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 10 11
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagun Artea vs Aoiz
2:5
Dec 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Lagun Artea
0:1
Mar 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagun Artea vs Aoiz
1:0
Oct 23, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Lagun Artea
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagun Artea 32 / 100
Aoiz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagun Artea Aoiz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aoiz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lagun Artea found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Aoiz let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Lagun Artea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aoiz
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagun Artea

(Home)
10 May
CD Beti Onak
1 : 2
Lagun Artea
04 May
Lagun Artea
1 : 3
Osasuna B
26 Apr
Mutilvera
4 : 1
Lagun Artea
17 Apr
Lagun Artea
3 : 0
CA Artajones
13 Apr
Cirbonero
2 : 2
Lagun Artea
Page 1 of 6

Aoiz

(Away)
03 Oct
Valle Egues
0 : 1
Aoiz
26 Sept
Aoiz
1 : 1
Gazte Berriak
18 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Aoiz
11 Sept
Aoiz
2 : 0
Doneztebe FT
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD San Juan 38 23 11 4 53:16 80
2 Mutilvera 38 23 9 6 78:28 78
3 Iruna 38 19 10 9 67:45 67
4 Cortes 38 19 9 10 50:41 66
5 Cirbonero 38 18 11 9 71:41 65
6 Txantrea 38 18 11 9 51:31 65
7 Huarte 38 16 10 12 58:49 58
8 Burlades 38 15 10 13 47:38 55
9 Oberena 38 17 4 17 52:51 55
10 Murchante 38 14 13 11 39:39 55
11 Valle Egues 38 14 7 17 52:51 49
12 Pamplona 38 13 9 16 45:48 48
13 Erriberri 38 12 10 16 43:52 46
14 Lagun Artea 38 12 9 17 34:48 45
15 Valtierrano 38 11 10 17 42:52 43
16 Idoya 38 10 11 17 34:55 41
17 Aoiz 38 10 9 19 42:63 39
18 Subiza 38 9 11 18 51:77 38
19 Pena Azagresa 38 6 12 20 39:70 30
20 Lagunak 38 3 10 25 20:73 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)