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Lagun Artea vs Erriberri

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Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013 game between Lagun Artea and Erriberri finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erriberri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lagun Artea
20%
Draws
29%
Erriberri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lagun Artea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Lagun Artea's 1.37 goals per match outpaces what Erriberri have produced (0.84).
  • Lagun Artea are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lagun Artea Clean Sheet 20%
Erriberri Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagun Artea Erriberri
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.37 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Erriberri vs Lagun Artea
2:2
Nov 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagun Artea vs Erriberri
3:1
Mar 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagun Artea vs Erriberri
0:2
Nov 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Erriberri vs Lagun Artea
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagun Artea 85 / 100
Erriberri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagun Artea Erriberri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Lagun Artea scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Erriberri has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Lagun Artea remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Erriberri
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagun Artea

(Home)
10 May
CD Beti Onak
1 : 2
Lagun Artea
04 May
Lagun Artea
1 : 3
Osasuna B
26 Apr
Mutilvera
4 : 1
Lagun Artea
17 Apr
Lagun Artea
3 : 0
CA Artajones
13 Apr
Cirbonero
2 : 2
Lagun Artea
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Erriberri

(Away)
13 May
Burlades
2 : 2
Erriberri
07 May
Erriberri
2 : 0
CD River Ega
29 Apr
CD Corellano
3 : 0
Erriberri
23 Apr
Erriberri
0 : 4
Txantrea
13 Apr
Oberena
2 : 0
Erriberri
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD San Juan 38 23 11 4 53:16 80
2 Mutilvera 38 23 9 6 78:28 78
3 Iruna 38 19 10 9 67:45 67
4 Cortes 38 19 9 10 50:41 66
5 Cirbonero 38 18 11 9 71:41 65
6 Txantrea 38 18 11 9 51:31 65
7 Huarte 38 16 10 12 58:49 58
8 Burlades 38 15 10 13 47:38 55
9 Oberena 38 17 4 17 52:51 55
10 Murchante 38 14 13 11 39:39 55
11 Valle Egues 38 14 7 17 52:51 49
12 Pamplona 38 13 9 16 45:48 48
13 Erriberri 38 12 10 16 43:52 46
14 Lagun Artea 38 12 9 17 34:48 45
15 Valtierrano 38 11 10 17 42:52 43
16 Idoya 38 10 11 17 34:55 41
17 Aoiz 38 10 9 19 42:63 39
18 Subiza 38 9 11 18 51:77 38
19 Pena Azagresa 38 6 12 20 39:70 30
20 Lagunak 38 3 10 25 20:73 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)