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Lagun Artea vs Oberena

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Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013 game between Lagun Artea and Oberena finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oberena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lagun Artea
30%
Draws
29%
Oberena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lagun Artea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Lagun Artea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lagun Artea's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lagun Artea Clean Sheet 19%
Oberena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagun Artea Oberena
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 6
Draws 10 11
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.37 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagun Artea vs Oberena
1:0
Sep 29, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs Lagun Artea
1:1
Feb 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagun Artea vs Oberena
0:4
Sep 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs Lagun Artea
0:1
May 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs Lagun Artea
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagun Artea 40 / 100
Oberena 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagun Artea Oberena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lagun Artea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oberena has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Attacking prowess: Lagun Artea scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lagun Artea remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Oberena
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagun Artea

(Home)
10 May
CD Beti Onak
1 : 2
Lagun Artea
04 May
Lagun Artea
1 : 3
Osasuna B
26 Apr
Mutilvera
4 : 1
Lagun Artea
17 Apr
Lagun Artea
3 : 0
CA Artajones
13 Apr
Cirbonero
2 : 2
Lagun Artea
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Oberena

(Away)
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
03 May
Oberena
2 : 1
Txantrea
25 Apr
Pamplona
2 : 1
Oberena
19 Apr
Oberena
0 : 0
Cirbonero
10 Apr
CA Artajones
1 : 1
Oberena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD San Juan 38 23 11 4 53:16 80
2 Mutilvera 38 23 9 6 78:28 78
3 Iruna 38 19 10 9 67:45 67
4 Cortes 38 19 9 10 50:41 66
5 Cirbonero 38 18 11 9 71:41 65
6 Txantrea 38 18 11 9 51:31 65
7 Huarte 38 16 10 12 58:49 58
8 Burlades 38 15 10 13 47:38 55
9 Oberena 38 17 4 17 52:51 55
10 Murchante 38 14 13 11 39:39 55
11 Valle Egues 38 14 7 17 52:51 49
12 Pamplona 38 13 9 16 45:48 48
13 Erriberri 38 12 10 16 43:52 46
14 Lagun Artea 38 12 9 17 34:48 45
15 Valtierrano 38 11 10 17 42:52 43
16 Idoya 38 10 11 17 34:55 41
17 Aoiz 38 10 9 19 42:63 39
18 Subiza 38 9 11 18 51:77 38
19 Pena Azagresa 38 6 12 20 39:70 30
20 Lagunak 38 3 10 25 20:73 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)