Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lagun Onak vs Balmaseda Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between Lagun Onak and Balmaseda finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lagun Onak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lagun Onak
30%
Draws
43%
Balmaseda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Balmaseda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lagun Onak come out ahead of Balmaseda on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 20%
Balmaseda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagun Onak Balmaseda
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 10 12
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.32 1
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Lagun Onak
2:0
May 1, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Balmaseda
2:1
May 10, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Balmaseda
0:0
Dec 21, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Lagun Onak
2:0
Feb 16, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Lagun Onak
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagun Onak 32 / 100
Balmaseda 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagun Onak Balmaseda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lagun Onak's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Balmaseda let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Lagun Onak stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lagun Onak VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagun Onak

(Home)
03 Oct
Lagun Onak
1 : 2
UD Aretxabaleta
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1
Lagun Onak
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
San Ignacio
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
Page 1 of 8

Balmaseda

(Away)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Balmaseda
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
29 May
Santurtzi
1 : 2
Balmaseda
23 May
Balmaseda
0 : 0
SCD Durango
19 May
Balmaseda
2 : 2
Santurtzi
Page 1 of 6