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Lagun Onak vs Eibar C

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Bellido M.
59'
Amenabar A.
59'
Amenabar A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Lagun Onak
35%
Draws
40%
Eibar C
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Eibar C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lagun Onak lately — more wins on the board than Eibar C.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 10%
Eibar C Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagun Onak Eibar C
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.35 1.45
Goals Conceded 1 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Eibar C
1:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Lagun Onak
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Lagun Onak
4:1
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Eibar C
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lagun Onak Compare

Top Goalscorer Bellido M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Eibar C Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagun Onak 30 / 100
Eibar C 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagun Onak Eibar C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eibar C Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Eibar C conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Lagun Onak scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Lagun Onak went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lagun Onak VS Eibar C
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagun Onak

(Home)
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
San Ignacio
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2
Beasain
24 May
Derio
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
Page 1 of 7

Eibar C

(Away)
26 Sept
Leioa
2 : 1
Eibar C
19 Sept
Eibar C
3 : 1
SD Erandio
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1
Alaves C
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1
Santurtzi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)