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Lagun Onak vs Oiartzun

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 game between Lagun Onak and Oiartzun finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oiartzun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lagun Onak
35%
Draws
25%
Oiartzun
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lagun Onak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lagun Onak come out ahead of Oiartzun on wins alone.
  • Lagun Onak are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 20%
Oiartzun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagun Onak Oiartzun
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.29 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Oiartzun
1:0
Dec 20, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Oiartzun vs Lagun Onak
0:1
May 3, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Oiartzun
1:2
Dec 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Oiartzun vs Lagun Onak
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagun Onak 40 / 100
Oiartzun 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagun Onak Oiartzun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lagun Onak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oiartzun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Lagun Onak's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Lagun Onak stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lagun Onak VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagun Onak

(Home)
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1
Lagun Onak
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
San Ignacio
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2
Beasain
Page 1 of 7

Oiartzun

(Away)
16 May
Oiartzun
3 : 2
Santutxu FC
09 May
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
Oiartzun
01 May
Oiartzun
0 : 0
Portugalete
25 Apr
Alaves B
2 : 0
Oiartzun
18 Apr
Oiartzun
1 : 1
Balmaseda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leioa 38 24 9 5 62:34 81
2 Portugalete 38 20 10 8 67:38 70
3 Arenas Getxo 38 20 9 9 67:39 69
4 Basconia 38 19 10 9 77:49 67
5 Alaves B 38 17 11 10 54:33 62
6 Zalla UC 38 16 12 10 55:45 60
7 Gernika Club 38 15 14 9 43:29 59
8 Zamudio 38 15 11 12 64:48 56
9 Balmaseda 38 14 13 11 45:40 55
10 Beasain 38 14 10 14 45:59 52
11 Santutxu FC 38 9 21 8 37:40 48
12 SCD Durango 38 13 9 16 52:57 48
13 Pasaia 38 12 10 16 39:48 46
14 Lagun Onak 38 12 9 17 34:46 45
15 Oiartzun 38 11 11 16 40:61 44
16 Amurrio Club 38 11 9 18 31:45 42
17 Bermeo 38 9 12 17 37:46 39
18 Elgoibar 38 7 14 17 26:48 35
19 Sodupe 38 5 10 23 36:65 25
20 Retuerto Sport 38 5 10 23 21:62 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)