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Lagun Onak vs SCD Durango - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lagun Onak host SCD Durango in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. This one's hard to separate. Lagun Onak have averaged 1.35 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against SCD Durango's 1.38 scored and 1.22 conceded. Past meetings favor Lagun Onak slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 16, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.56) point toward Lagun Onak. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Lagun Onak
30%
Draws
35%
SCD Durango
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Lagun Onak have won more games recently than SCD Durango.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 15%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagun Onak SCD Durango
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 15 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.35 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs SCD Durango
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Lagun Onak
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs SCD Durango
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Lagun Onak
1:2
Feb 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Lagun Onak
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagun Onak 35 / 100
SCD Durango 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagun Onak SCD Durango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Durango Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lagun Onak's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

SCD Durango let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Lagun Onak has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lagun Onak VS SCD Durango
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagun Onak

(Home)
10 Oct
Beasain
4 : 2
Lagun Onak
03 Oct
Lagun Onak
1 : 2
UD Aretxabaleta
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1
Lagun Onak
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
San Ignacio
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
Page 1 of 7

SCD Durango

(Away)
10 Oct
SCD Durango
1 : 1
Derio
03 Oct
Touring KE
2 : 2
SCD Durango
26 Sept
Beasain
1 : 2
SCD Durango
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 6 4 1 1 10:8 13
2 Leioa 6 3 3 0 16:6 12
3 Derio 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
4 Real Sociedad C 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 UD Aretxabaleta 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Alaves C 6 3 1 2 13:6 10
7 Pasaia 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
8 San Ignacio 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
9 Touring KE 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
10 Sodupe 6 2 2 2 5:9 8
11 SCD Durango 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
12 Beasain 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Lagun Onak 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
14 SD Erandio 6 2 0 4 6:8 6
15 Santurtzi 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
16 Eibar C 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
17 Real Union B 6 1 2 3 7:12 5
18 Amurrio Club 6 0 1 5 1:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)