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Lagun Onak vs SD Erandio

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015 game between Lagun Onak and SD Erandio finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lagun Onak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lagun Onak
35%
Draws
32%
SD Erandio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lagun Onak come out ahead of SD Erandio on wins alone.
  • Lagun Onak are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 20%
SD Erandio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagun Onak SD Erandio
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 18 6
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.42 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs SD Erandio
4:0
Nov 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Erandio vs Lagun Onak
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagun Onak 42 / 100
SD Erandio 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagun Onak SD Erandio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Lagun Onak found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (38 games).

SD Erandio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Lagun Onak went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lagun Onak VS SD Erandio
1.5 Goals Scored 0.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagun Onak

(Home)
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2
Beasain
24 May
Derio
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
17 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 0
Derio
09 May
Leioa
2 : 3
Lagun Onak
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SD Erandio

(Away)
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2
SD Erandio
12 Aug
Santurtzi
0 : 0
SD Erandio
16 May
Amurrio Club
2 : 2
SD Erandio
10 May
SD Erandio
2 : 4
Arenas Getxo
01 May
SD Erandio
1 : 0
Aurrera de Vitoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 38 20 15 3 68:27 75
2 Gernika Club 38 21 12 5 54:21 75
3 Arenas Getxo 38 20 11 7 62:31 71
4 SCD Durango 38 20 7 11 43:30 67
5 Beasain 38 18 13 7 52:41 67
6 Zalla UC 38 18 12 8 50:36 66
7 Alaves B 38 16 10 12 52:41 58
8 Real Sociedad C 38 15 12 11 38:32 57
9 Balmaseda 38 16 7 15 43:37 55
10 Santurtzi 38 14 9 15 48:49 51
11 Zamudio 38 13 11 14 53:49 50
12 Aurrera de Vitoria 38 14 7 17 44:48 49
13 Santutxu FC 38 12 10 16 31:43 46
14 Bermeo 38 10 15 13 35:49 45
15 Lagun Onak 38 11 10 17 38:43 43
16 Basconia 38 10 12 16 44:57 42
17 Pasaia 38 10 8 20 35:49 38
18 SD Erandio 38 9 5 24 33:62 32
19 Oiartzun 38 5 11 22 24:55 26
20 Amurrio Club 38 5 9 24 25:72 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)