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Laguna RN vs Alecrim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar 2 2024
Laguna RN Logo

Laguna RN

1 - 0
FT
Alecrim Logo

Alecrim

Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Joao Varolo
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Potiguar 2 2024 game between Laguna RN and Alecrim finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Laguna RN.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Laguna RN
15%
Draws
73%
Alecrim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alecrim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Laguna RN carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Alecrim are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Laguna RN Clean Sheet 16%
Alecrim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laguna RN Alecrim
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.16 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2024 Potiguar 2
Laguna RN vs Alecrim
1:0
Oct 9, 2024 Potiguar 2
Alecrim vs Laguna RN
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laguna RN Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Varolo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Alecrim Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laguna RN 11 / 100
Alecrim 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laguna RN Alecrim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alecrim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alecrim conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Alecrim lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Laguna RN scored in 53% of their last 38 outings.

Scoring Trends

Laguna RN VS Alecrim
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Laguna RN

(Home)
14 Jun
Central SC
2 : 1
Laguna RN
31 May
Laguna RN
0 : 2
ABC
25 May
Laguna RN
1 : 1
Maguary
17 May
America RN
5 : 0
Laguna RN
10 May
Laguna RN
0 : 1
Sousa
Page 1 of 8

Alecrim

(Away)
29 Oct
Alecrim
0 : 2
Baraunas
25 Oct
Univap
0 : 3
Alecrim
19 Oct
Alecrim
0 : 2
QFC
16 Oct
Mossoro
2 : 1
Alecrim
12 Oct
Alecrim
2 : 1
Visao Celeste
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laguna RN 10 6 1 3 15:9 19
2 Alecrim 10 6 1 3 22:9 19
3 QFC 10 5 4 1 17:4 19
4 Rio Grande RN 10 5 2 3 19:6 17
5 Univap 10 3 2 5 11:12 11
6 Parnamirim 10 0 0 10 0:44 0
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