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Laguna RN vs Potiguar de Mossoró

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Babi

AI Match Summary

The Potiguar game between Laguna RN and Potiguar de Mossoró finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Potiguar de Mossoró.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Laguna RN
6%
Draws
90%
Potiguar de Mossoró
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Potiguar de Mossoró

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Potiguar de Mossoró come out ahead of Laguna RN on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Potiguar de Mossoró's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Potiguar form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Laguna RN Clean Sheet 18%
Potiguar de Mossoró Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laguna RN Potiguar de Mossoró
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 5 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Potiguar
Potiguar de Mossoró vs Laguna RN
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Potiguar
Laguna RN vs Potiguar de Mossoró
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Potiguar
Laguna RN vs Potiguar de Mossoró
0:1
Jan 29, 2025 Potiguar
Laguna RN vs Potiguar de Mossoró
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laguna RN Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Potiguar de Mossoró Compare

Top Goalscorer Babi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laguna RN 10 / 100
Potiguar de Mossoró 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laguna RN Potiguar de Mossoró

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Laguna RN scored in 44% of their last 32 games.

Potiguar de Mossoró has conceded goals in 48% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Laguna RN stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Laguna RN VS Potiguar de Mossoró
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.71
50% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America RN752016:317
2ABC743016:515
3QFC742114:514
4Potiguar de Mossoró74217:314
5Laguna RN712412:175
6Santa Cruz de Natal71249:195
7Potyguar Seridoense71158:194
8Globo FC70257:182