Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Laguna Tenerife vs Toledo

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion
Wed, Sep 10, 2025
1 - 2
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Pato
70' Event
Friaza J. L.
105'
Alvarez F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Laguna Tenerife
25%
Draws
35%
Toledo
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Laguna Tenerife

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toledo lately — more wins on the board than Laguna Tenerife.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Toledo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Toledo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Laguna Tenerife Clean Sheet 17%
Toledo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laguna Tenerife Toledo
Matches Played 1 34
Wins 0 19
Draws 0 8
Losses 1 7
Goals Scored 1 1.59
Goals Conceded 2 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 Copa Federacion
Laguna Tenerife vs Toledo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laguna Tenerife Compare

Top Goalscorer Pato
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Toledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Friaza J. L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laguna Tenerife 30 / 100
Toledo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laguna Tenerife Toledo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laguna Tenerife found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (1 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Toledo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Toledo conceded in 47% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Toledo
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Laguna Tenerife

(Home)
10 Sept
Laguna Tenerife
1 : 2
Toledo

Toledo

(Away)
05 Aug
Toledo
1 : 3
Navalcarnero
24 May
Toledo
0 : 1
Albacete B
17 May
Albacete B
0 : 0
Toledo
10 May
CD Pedroneras
1 : 0
Toledo
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2
Puertollano C.F.
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 1
Tudelano 0
Formentera 1
SD Ibiza 0
Terrassa 4
Atletico Monzon 0
SD Ejea 2
UE Tona 0
Bergantinos 4
Marino De Luanco 2
Estradense 2
Covadonga 1
CD Laredo 1
Ourense CF 5
Zamora 4
Amorebieta 1
Varea 2
Moralo 0
San Sebastian Reyes 1
Alfaro 0
Laguna Tenerife 1
Toledo 2
Jaraiz 2
CD Coria 3
Deportiva Minera 3
Melilla 0
Molinense 2
Xerez CD 0
Ceuta 6 de Junio 2
Orihuela 5
Huetor Tajar 2
Bollullos 1
1/8-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 6
Formentera 1
Terrassa 0
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 2
Estradense 1
Ourense CF 2
Zamora 1
Varea 1
San Sebastian Reyes 2
Toledo 1
CD Coria 0
Deportiva Minera 3
Molinense 0
Orihuela 3
Huetor Tajar 0
Quarter-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 2
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 0
Ourense CF 2
San Sebastian Reyes 0
Toledo 1
Deportiva Minera 0
Orihuela 1
Semi-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 3
Ourense CF 4
Toledo 2
Orihuela 4
Final
Ourense CF 3
Orihuela 0