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Lagunak vs Subiza

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Beunza M.
16' Event
Amadoz J.
26' Event
Lumbreras C.

AI Match Summary

Subiza in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Subiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lagunak
35%
Draws
25%
Subiza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lagunak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Subiza lately — more wins on the board than Lagunak.
  • Model gives Lagunak a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Lagunak Clean Sheet 68%
Subiza Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagunak Subiza
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Lagunak
3:1
Jan 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs Subiza
1:6
Jan 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Lagunak
5:1
Sep 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs Subiza
2:0
Feb 2, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs Subiza
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lagunak Compare

Top Goalscorer Salinas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Subiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Beunza M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amadoz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagunak 50 / 100
Subiza 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagunak Subiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lagunak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Lagunak's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Subiza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Lagunak stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Subiza
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagunak

(Home)
11 May
Lagunak
2 : 0
Huarte
04 May
Subiza
3 : 1
Lagunak
01 May
Lagunak
1 : 0
Oberena
27 Apr
Pamplona
1 : 1
Lagunak
21 Apr
Lagunak
0 : 0
Burlades
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Subiza

(Away)
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
13 Sept
Subiza
5 : 2
Valle Egues
05 Sept
Gazte Berriak
3 : 2
Subiza
30 Aug
Huesca B
4 : 1
Subiza
23 Aug
Subiza
2 : 2
Izarra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)