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Stadium Background

Lahden Reipas vs JPS Jyvaskyla

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2025 Lahden kisapuisto, Lahti
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kuparinen E.
7' Event
Kose B.
23' Event
Kostian J.

AI Match Summary

Lahden Reipas in this Kakkonen Group A 2025 matchup, with the score ending 8-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lahden Reipas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lahden Reipas
20%
Draws
29%
JPS Jyvaskyla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lahden Reipas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Lahden Reipas have won more games recently than JPS Jyvaskyla.
  • Model gives Lahden Reipas a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lahden Reipas have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41.2%
Lahden Reipas Clean Sheet 68%
JPS Jyvaskyla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lahden Reipas JPS Jyvaskyla
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 2.72 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.88 4.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
JPS Jyvaskyla vs Lahden Reipas
1:9
Sep 13, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
Lahden Reipas vs JPS Jyvaskyla
8:3
Jul 24, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
JPS Jyvaskyla vs Lahden Reipas
1:5
May 24, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
Lahden Reipas vs JPS Jyvaskyla
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lahden Reipas Compare

Top Goalscorer Kose B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kuparinen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

JPS Jyvaskyla Compare

Top Goalscorer Salmi E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lahden Reipas 95 / 100
JPS Jyvaskyla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lahden Reipas JPS Jyvaskyla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lahden Reipas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lahden Reipas scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: JPS Jyvaskyla conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 8.50 goals as a typical output.

Lahden Reipas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lahden Reipas VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lahden Reipas

(Home)
03 Oct
Lahden Reipas
4 : 0
Union Plaani
26 Sept
Lahden Reipas
7 : 1
MyPa
19 Sept
Union Plaani
1 : 0
Lahden Reipas
12 Sept
Lahden Reipas
0 : 0
PuiU Helsinki
04 Sept
MyPa
5 : 1
Lahden Reipas
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JPS Jyvaskyla

(Away)
28 Apr
JPS Jyvaskyla
3 : 5
Mikkelin
10 Apr
JIPPO II
0 : 2
JPS Jyvaskyla
04 Oct
HAPK
3 : 2
JPS Jyvaskyla
28 Sept
JPS Jyvaskyla
1 : 9
Lahden Reipas
18 Sept
JPS Jyvaskyla
2 : 2
Vaajakoski
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