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Lahden Reipas vs PEPO - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A Lahden kisapuisto, Lahti
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Salminen M.
25'
Nykanen H.
46'
Sub
Enbuska J. In: Pesonen P.
Out: Enbuska J.

AI Match Summary

PEPO in this Kakkonen Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored PEPO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lahden Reipas
30%
Draws
29%
PEPO
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lahden Reipas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • PEPO have won more games recently than Lahden Reipas.
  • Model gives Lahden Reipas a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • PEPO have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Lahden Reipas Clean Sheet 10%
PEPO Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lahden Reipas PEPO
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 2.03 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
Lahden Reipas vs PEPO
1:2
Jun 4, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
PEPO vs Lahden Reipas
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 Club Friendly
PEPO vs Lahden Reipas
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Lahden Reipas vs PEPO
0:0
Jul 19, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
Lahden Reipas vs PEPO
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lahden Reipas Compare

Top Goalscorer Helttunen O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

PEPO Compare

Top Goalscorer Salminen M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turppo O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lahden Reipas 83 / 100
PEPO 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lahden Reipas PEPO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lahden Reipas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lahden Reipas scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

PEPO's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lahden Reipas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lahden Reipas VS PEPO
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lahden Reipas

(Home)
03 Oct
Lahden Reipas
4 : 0
Union Plaani
26 Sept
Lahden Reipas
7 : 1
MyPa
19 Sept
Union Plaani
1 : 0
Lahden Reipas
12 Sept
Lahden Reipas
0 : 0
PuiU Helsinki
04 Sept
MyPa
5 : 1
Lahden Reipas
Page 1 of 6

PEPO

(Away)
02 Oct
PEPO
0 : 3
Abo IFK
19 Sept
PEPO
3 : 4
Kiffen
12 Sept
HPS
1 : 1
PEPO
08 Sept
PEPO
2 : 1
HIFK
03 Sept
Atlantis
0 : 0
PEPO
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiffen 18 12 3 3 41:24 39
2 PEPO 18 11 4 3 36:23 37
3 Atlantis 18 10 2 6 62:44 32
4 HIFK 18 7 6 5 39:33 27
5 HPS 18 7 4 7 39:41 25
6 Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 18 5 8 5 33:31 23
7 Lahden Reipas 18 7 2 9 35:35 23
8 PuiU Helsinki 18 4 4 10 26:38 16
9 MyPa 18 4 3 11 20:39 15
10 Union Plaani 18 4 2 12 19:42 14
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage)