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Lahti vs SJK

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Lahden Stadion, Lahti
2 - 3
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Paananen K.
13'
Sarr M.
25' Event
Koskinen O.
Assist: Cassubie Y.

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between Lahti and SJK finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SJK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Lahti
20%
Draws
23%
SJK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lahti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lahti come out ahead of SJK on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lahti's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Lahti Clean Sheet 20%
SJK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lahti SJK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs SJK
2:3
Jul 27, 2024 Veikkausliiga
SJK vs Lahti
5:5
May 27, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs SJK
0:4
Jul 16, 2023 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs SJK
1:1
Apr 22, 2023 Veikkausliiga
SJK vs Lahti
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lahti Compare

Top Goalscorer Koskinen O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lindholm A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

SJK Compare

Top Goalscorer Tessilimi O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Paananen K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lahti 76 / 100
SJK 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lahti SJK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SJK conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Lahti scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Lahti stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lahti VS SJK
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lahti

(Home)
09 Aug
Inter Turku
0 : 0
Lahti
01 Aug
Lahti
2 : 0
Jaro
26 Jul
Ilves
1 : 0
Lahti
20 Jul
Mariehamn
0 : 2
Lahti
11 Jul
Lahti
2 : 0
HJK
Page 1 of 6

SJK

(Away)
07 Aug
SJK
2 : 2
Gnistan
03 Aug
SJK
3 : 0
HJK
24 Jul
Jaro
2 : 1
SJK
18 Jul
SJK
0 : 2
KuPS
10 Jul
VPS
1 : 0
SJK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 19 11 7 1 34:17 40
2 Inter Turku 19 9 8 2 25:14 35
3 HJK 19 9 4 6 29:23 31
4 VPS 19 8 6 5 27:18 30
5 AC Oulu 19 9 3 7 22:22 30
6 Gnistan 19 8 5 6 29:24 29
7 Lahti 19 7 5 7 22:16 26
8 TPS 19 7 5 7 24:21 26
9 Ilves 19 7 4 8 31:31 25
10 SJK 19 4 6 9 24:29 18
11 Jaro 19 3 6 10 18:38 15
12 Mariehamn 19 0 5 14 9:41 5
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)