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Lahti W vs Ilves 2 W Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Women 2023 Lahden Stadion, Lahti
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ykkonen Women 2023 game between Lahti W and Ilves 2 W finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lahti W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lahti W
15%
Draws
51%
Ilves 2 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ilves 2 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Lahti W haven't matched Ilves 2 W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ilves 2 W a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lahti W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Lahti W Clean Sheet 10%
Ilves 2 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lahti W Ilves 2 W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.42 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.55 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2024 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Ilves 2 W vs Lahti W
1:5
Jun 30, 2024 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Ilves 2 W vs Lahti W
3:0
Apr 14, 2024 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs Ilves 2 W
3:1
Oct 14, 2023 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs Ilves 2 W
4:3
Jun 14, 2023 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Ilves 2 W vs Lahti W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lahti W 22 / 100
Ilves 2 W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lahti W Ilves 2 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilves 2 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves 2 W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Lahti W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Difficult form: Ilves 2 W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lahti W VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lahti W

(Home)
26 Sept
Lahti W
0 : 0
TPS W
20 Sept
ONS Oulu W
0 : 2
Lahti W
12 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa W
7 : 0
Lahti W
30 Aug
Lahti W
1 : 3
HJK Akatemia W
22 Aug
TPS W
4 : 2
Lahti W
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Ilves 2 W

(Away)
19 Oct
Ilves 2 W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
13 Oct
Pallo-Iirot W
0 : 3
Ilves 2 W
06 Oct
Ilves 2 W
1 : 5
Lahti W
28 Sept
EBK W
3 : 2
Ilves 2 W
21 Sept
Ilves 2 W
8 : 2
VJS W
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