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Lajeadense vs Sao Gabriel Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Mazia da Costa M. A.

AI Match Summary

Lajeadense in this Gaucho 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lajeadense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lajeadense
15%
Draws
0%
Sao Gabriel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lajeadense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lajeadense lately — more wins on the board than Sao Gabriel.
  • Lajeadense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Lajeadense Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Gabriel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lajeadense Sao Gabriel
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 7 1
Draws 10 5
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 0.58 0.34
Goals Conceded 1.15 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2024 Gaucho 2
Lajeadense vs Sao Gabriel
1:0
Apr 28, 2024 Gaucho 2
Sao Gabriel vs Lajeadense
0:0
Jul 9, 2023 Gaucho 2
Lajeadense vs Sao Gabriel
0:0
Apr 23, 2023 Gaucho 2
Sao Gabriel vs Lajeadense
1:1
Jun 5, 2022 Gaucho 2
Lajeadense vs Sao Gabriel
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lajeadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazia da Costa M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.21

Sao Gabriel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lajeadense 95 / 100
Sao Gabriel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lajeadense Sao Gabriel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lajeadense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Sao Gabriel has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Sao Gabriel conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Lajeadense's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lajeadense VS Sao Gabriel
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 4.6
50% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Lajeadense

(Home)
27 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Lajeadense
23 Sept
Lajeadense
0 : 1
Veranopolis
19 Sept
Aimore
2 : 0
Lajeadense
16 Sept
Lajeadense
1 : 0
SC Gaucho
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Lajeadense
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Sao Gabriel

(Away)
16 Nov
Sao Gabriel
0 : 5
SC Sao Paulo
09 Nov
Pelotas
3 : 0
Sao Gabriel
08 Nov
Riograndense
8 : 0
Sao Gabriel
29 Oct
Internacional 2
7 : 0
Sao Gabriel
25 Oct
SC Rio Grande
3 : 1
Sao Gabriel
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GE Gloria 14 9 2 3 17:7 29
2 Passo Fundo 14 8 3 3 21:13 27
3 Veranopolis 14 7 2 5 19:13 23
4 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 14 6 5 3 15:14 23
5 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 4 3 7 17:17 15
6 SC Gaucho 14 4 3 7 15:15 15
7 Brasil de Farroupilha 14 5 0 9 11:24 15
8 EC Cruzeiro 14 3 2 9 11:23 11
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monsoon 14 8 4 2 20:10 28
2 Inter Santa Maria 14 8 3 3 26:12 27
3 Lajeadense 14 6 6 2 13:7 24
4 Pelotas 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
5 Aimore 14 6 3 5 20:13 21
6 GE Bage 14 6 2 6 14:14 20
7 Futvida 14 2 2 10 8:24 8
8 Sao Gabriel 14 1 2 11 7:34 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2025 (Main)