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Lajeadense vs SC Gaucho

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Romulo Silva
36' Event
Mazia da Costa M. A.
49' Event
Grygor Fagundes Silva J.

AI Match Summary

Lajeadense in this Gaucho 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lajeadense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Lajeadense
30%
Draws
58%
SC Gaucho
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Gaucho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC Gaucho lately — more wins on the board than Lajeadense.
  • SC Gaucho are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Lajeadense Clean Sheet 19%
SC Gaucho Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lajeadense SC Gaucho
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 5 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2025 Gaucho 2
Lajeadense vs SC Gaucho
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lajeadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazia da Costa M. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grygor Fagundes Silva J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

SC Gaucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Romulo Silva
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lajeadense 28 / 100
SC Gaucho 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lajeadense SC Gaucho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Gaucho Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Gaucho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Lajeadense scored in 44% of their last 27 games.

Lajeadense has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lajeadense VS SC Gaucho
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lajeadense

(Home)
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Lajeadense
09 Sept
Lajeadense
1 : 2
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
06 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Lajeadense
01 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 0
Lajeadense
23 Aug
Lajeadense
0 : 0
GE Gloria
Page 1 of 6

SC Gaucho

(Away)
13 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 0
Veranopolis
10 Sept
SC Gaucho
2 : 1
GE Gloria
06 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
SC Gaucho
02 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
23 Aug
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aimore 14 9 4 1 16:5 31
2 Inter Santa Maria 14 8 5 1 16:7 29
3 Passo Fundo 14 7 6 1 20:12 27
4 Novo Hamburgo 14 7 3 4 17:8 24
5 Gramadense 14 6 6 2 13:9 24
6 Veranopolis 14 6 5 3 17:9 23
7 GE Bage 14 5 6 3 9:5 21
8 Lajeadense 14 5 6 3 13:14 21
9 Santa Cruz RS 14 4 6 4 12:11 18
10 Brasil de Farroupilha 14 4 3 7 15:20 15
11 GE Gloria 14 2 7 5 8:13 13
12 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 3 2 9 12:21 11
13 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 14 1 7 6 6:16 10
14 SC Gaucho 14 2 3 9 15:20 9
15 Real SC 14 0 3 11 4:23 3
16 Futvida 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 (Main)