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Lajense vs 1º Dezembro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lajense host 1º Dezembro in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Lajense at 1.38 goals for, 1.55 against; 1º Dezembro at 0.93 for, 1.52 against. Past meetings favor 1º Dezembro slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 31, 2025, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.81 - 1.50) back Lajense to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lajense
30%
Draws
39%
1º Dezembro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: 1º Dezembro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lajense lately — more wins on the board than 1º Dezembro.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Lajense Clean Sheet 16%
1º Dezembro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lajense 1º Dezembro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.38 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2025 Taça de Portugal
Lajense vs 1º Dezembro
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lajense 30 / 100
1º Dezembro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lajense 1º Dezembro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lajense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: 1º Dezembro conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Lajense scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lajense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lajense VS 1º Dezembro
2 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lajense

(Home)
04 Oct
Lajense
2 : 0
Juv. Evora
27 Sept
Amora
1 : 0
Lajense
20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0
Lajense
13 Sept
Real SC
5 : 5
Lajense
06 Sept
Lajense
0 : 1
Vitoria Setubal
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1º Dezembro

(Away)
13 Sept
1º Dezembro
1 : 1
Amora
06 Sept
Serpa
1 : 1
1º Dezembro
30 Aug
1º Dezembro
0 : 1
Real SC
16 Aug
Imortal
5 : 0
1º Dezembro
02 May
1º Dezembro
2 : 1
Caldas SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Imortal 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Amora 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
4 Serpa 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
5 Real SC 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
6 Juv. Evora 4 1 2 1 6:7 5
7 Lagoa 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
8 GD Alcochetense 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
9 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
10 Portel 4 0 4 0 6:6 4
11 Lajense 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
12 1º Dezembro 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
13 Aljustrelense 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
14 Santa Clara B 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)