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Lajong vs North East United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

Durand Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ajaraie A.
20' Event
Syndai F.
34' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-5. The second leg ended 2-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lajong
20%
Draws
33%
North East United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lajong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and North East United come out ahead of Lajong on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lajong's way, sitting at 90%.
  • North East United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor North East United, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors North East United here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lajong Clean Sheet 10%
North East United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lajong North East United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.07 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Durand Cup
Lajong vs North East United
2:5
Aug 19, 2025 Durand Cup
Lajong vs North East United
0:1
Aug 8, 2025 Durand Cup
Lajong vs North East United
1:2
Aug 26, 2024 Durand Cup
Lajong vs North East United
0:3
Jan 15, 2024 Super Cup
North East United vs Lajong
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lajong Compare

Top Goalscorer Syndai F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

North East United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajaraie A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lajong 83 / 100
North East United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lajong North East United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lajong Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: North East United conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Lajong scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Lajong went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lajong VS North East United
3 Goals Scored 3.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lajong

(Home)
17 Aug
Lajong
2 : 5
North East United
13 Aug
Lajong
3 : 3
Langsning
08 Aug
Lajong
5 : 0
Mumbay FC
31 Jul
Lajong
2 : 0
Nongkseh
23 May
Diamond Harbour
0 : 3
Lajong
Page 1 of 6

North East United

(Away)
05 Oct
East Bengal
7 : 2
North East United
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
North East United
26 Sept
Sreenidi Deccan
0 : 3
North East United
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
North East United
17 Aug
Lajong
2 : 5
North East United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
SC Delhi 5
Raengdai 1
Army Red 0
East Bengal 1
Mohun Bagan 2
Jamshedpur 1
Lajong 2
North East United 5
Semi-finals
SC Delhi 0
East Bengal 1
Mohun Bagan 1
North East United 0
Final
East Bengal 4
Mohun Bagan 1