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Lake Macquarie vs Dudley Redhead United

Australia Australia

Northern NSW State League
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AI Match Summary

Lake Macquarie play Dudley Redhead United in the Northern NSW State League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lake Macquarie averaged 2.83 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Dudley Redhead United averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Lake Macquarie won 3, Dudley Redhead United won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 7:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Lake Macquarie and 1.19 for Dudley Redhead United. This points to a Lake Macquarie double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Lake Macquarie
15%
Draws
36%
Dudley Redhead United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lake Macquarie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Lake Macquarie picked up more points recently compared to Dudley Redhead United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Lake Macquarie Clean Sheet 20%
Dudley Redhead United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lake Macquarie Dudley Redhead United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.83 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Lake Macquarie vs Dudley Redhead United
7:2
Apr 12, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Dudley Redhead United vs Lake Macquarie
1:3
Jun 20, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Lake Macquarie vs Dudley Redhead United
2:3
Apr 6, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Dudley Redhead United vs Lake Macquarie
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lake Macquarie 48 / 100
Dudley Redhead United 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lake Macquarie Dudley Redhead United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lake Macquarie or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lake Macquarie attacking → ← attacking Dudley Redhead United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lake Macquarie scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Dudley Redhead United let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.25 goals.

Lake Macquarie went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Dudley Redhead United lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 40
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wallsend Red Devils1393137:1730
2Lake Macquarie1391348:1928
3New Lambton1372429:1923
4Newcastle Croatia1370632:3121
5Dudley Redhead United1363420:2021
6West Wallsend FC1353524:3218
7Cessnock City Hornets1342719:2414
8Singleton Strikers1333714:3012
9South Cardiff1331911:2410
10Toronto Awaba Stags13301016:349