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Lake Macquarie vs Dudley Redhead United

Australia Australia

Northern NSW State League
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AI Match Summary

The Northern NSW State League game between Lake Macquarie and Dudley Redhead United finished 7-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lake Macquarie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Lake Macquarie
20%
Draws
28%
Dudley Redhead United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lake Macquarie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Dudley Redhead United haven't matched Lake Macquarie's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lake Macquarie's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lake Macquarie have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Lake Macquarie Clean Sheet 20%
Dudley Redhead United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lake Macquarie Dudley Redhead United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.83 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Lake Macquarie vs Dudley Redhead United
7:2
Apr 12, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Dudley Redhead United vs Lake Macquarie
1:3
Jun 20, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Lake Macquarie vs Dudley Redhead United
2:3
Apr 6, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Dudley Redhead United vs Lake Macquarie
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lake Macquarie 85 / 100
Dudley Redhead United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lake Macquarie Dudley Redhead United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lake Macquarie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lake Macquarie found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 5.25 goals as a typical output.

Lake Macquarie has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dudley Redhead United has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lake Macquarie VS Dudley Redhead United
4 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lake Macquarie

(Home)
15 Aug
Toronto Awaba Stags
1 : 4
Lake Macquarie
09 Aug
Lake Macquarie
2 : 2
South Cardiff
01 Aug
Lake Macquarie
3 : 0
Singleton Strikers
25 Jul
New Lambton
1 : 5
Lake Macquarie
11 Jul
Newcastle Croatia
1 : 2
Lake Macquarie
Page 1 of 6

Dudley Redhead United

(Away)
15 Aug
Singleton Strikers
2 : 4
Dudley Redhead United
08 Aug
Dudley Redhead United
1 : 0
New Lambton
02 Aug
Dudley Redhead United
0 : 2
Newcastle Croatia
26 Jul
South Cardiff
0 : 0
Dudley Redhead United
11 Jul
Cessnock City Hornets
2 : 1
Dudley Redhead United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lake Macquarie 18 13 2 3 64:24 41
2 Wallsend Red Devils 18 12 4 2 58:26 40
3 Newcastle Croatia 18 11 0 7 45:37 33
4 New Lambton 18 10 2 6 41:30 32
5 Dudley Redhead United 18 8 4 6 26:26 28
6 Cessnock City Hornets 18 6 2 10 31:40 20
7 West Wallsend FC 18 5 4 9 27:47 19
8 Singleton Strikers 18 5 3 10 20:42 18
9 South Cardiff 18 3 4 11 15:32 13
10 Toronto Awaba Stags 18 4 1 13 23:46 13
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Main)
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)