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Lambton Jaffas FC vs Maitland

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW 2025 Arthur Edden Oval, Newcastle
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Collins I.
7' Event
Waller T.
44' Event
Bond P.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Lambton Jaffas FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Lambton Jaffas FC
28%
Draws
50%
Maitland
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Maitland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Lambton Jaffas FC's 2 goals per match outpaces what Maitland have produced (1.25).
  • Maitland are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Lambton Jaffas FC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Lambton Jaffas FC Clean Sheet 18%
Maitland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lambton Jaffas FC Maitland
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Lambton Jaffas FC vs Maitland
0:1
Apr 18, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Lambton Jaffas FC
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Lambton Jaffas FC vs Maitland
3:1
Aug 10, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Lambton Jaffas FC vs Maitland
4:2
May 10, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Lambton Jaffas FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lambton Jaffas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Waller T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bond P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Maitland Compare

Top Goalscorer Collins I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lambton Jaffas FC 23 / 100
Maitland 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lambton Jaffas FC Maitland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lambton Jaffas FC found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Maitland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lambton Jaffas FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lambton Jaffas FC VS Maitland
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lambton Jaffas FC

(Home)
18 Jul
Lambton Jaffas FC
0 : 1
Maitland
11 Jul
Weston Workers Bears
3 : 2
Lambton Jaffas FC
27 Jun
Valentine
1 : 1
Lambton Jaffas FC
23 Jun
Edgeworth Eagles FC
3 : 2
Lambton Jaffas FC
20 Jun
Lambton Jaffas FC
1 : 1
Adamstown Rosebud
Page 1 of 7

Maitland

(Away)
18 Jul
Lambton Jaffas FC
0 : 1
Maitland
11 Jul
Maitland
3 : 1
Adamstown Rosebud
21 Jun
Maitland
1 : 0
Newcastle Olympic
13 Jun
Maitland
1 : 0
Valentine
30 May
Maitland
2 : 1
Belmont Swansea United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Broadmeadow Magic FC-
TBD-
Edgeworth Eagles FC1
Weston Workers Bears2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lambton Jaffas FC3
Maitland1
Quarter-finals
Broadmeadow Magic FC2
Weston Workers Bears0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Edgeworth Eagles FC1
Lambton Jaffas FC3
Semi-finals
Broadmeadow Magic FC-
TBD-
Weston Workers Bears0
Lambton Jaffas FC2
Final
Broadmeadow Magic FC2
Lambton Jaffas FC0