Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lamezia Terme vs Castrovillari

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Thu, Mar 28, 2024
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lamezia Terme host Castrovillari in the Serie D - Group I 2023/2024. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Lamezia Terme at 0 goals for, 0 against; Castrovillari at 0.75 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, Lamezia Terme have won 3 to Castrovillari's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 0.93, favoring Lamezia Terme. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Lamezia Terme
17%
Draws
13%
Castrovillari
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Lamezia Terme

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Castrovillari have won more games recently than Lamezia Terme.
  • Lamezia Terme are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lamezia Terme Clean Sheet 20%
Castrovillari Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lamezia Terme Castrovillari
Matches Played 5 28
Wins 1 2
Draws 1 12
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia Terme vs Castrovillari
0:0
Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Lamezia Terme
0:0
Jan 15, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia Terme vs Castrovillari
1:0
Sep 28, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Lamezia Terme
1:2
Feb 6, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Lamezia Terme
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lamezia Terme 67 / 100
Castrovillari 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lamezia Terme Castrovillari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castrovillari let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Castrovillari lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Lamezia Terme's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lamezia Terme VS Castrovillari
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lamezia Terme

(Home)
15 Nov
Angri
:
Lamezia Terme
01 Nov
Lamezia Terme
4 : 1
S. Agata
29 Oct
Nuova Gioiese
0 : 0
Lamezia Terme
25 Oct
Reggina
3 : 0
Lamezia Terme
15 Oct
Portici 1906
2 : 1
Lamezia Terme

Castrovillari

(Away)
05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2
Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Licata
3 : 1
Castrovillari
21 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 1
Portici 1906
14 Apr
Siracusa
3 : 1
Castrovillari
07 Apr
Castrovillari
2 : 1
San Luca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trapani34304095:1594
2Siracusa34256379:2681
3Vibonese34226667:2972
4Reggina34198754:2565
5AS Acireale341591039:4154
6S. Agata341571246:3552
7Real Casalnuovo341561352:4951
8USD Ragusa341481241:3850
9Canicatti341461455:5148
10Igea Virtus341361538:4045
11Licata341271543:5443
12Akragas341261642:5342
13Sancataldese349101532:4337
14Portici 190634881832:5532
15San Luca346121637:5529
16Locri 190934772034:6828
17Castrovillari342122029:7617
18Nuova Gioiese34322918:8011
19Lamezia Terme00000:00
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)