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Stadium Background

Lamezia vs Igea Virtus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Ranieri A.
41' Event
Tumminelli M.
51' Event
Harper J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I game between Lamezia and Igea Virtus finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lamezia
20%
Draws
57%
Igea Virtus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Igea Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Igea Virtus come out ahead of Lamezia on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lamezia a 23% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lamezia Clean Sheet 10%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lamezia Igea Virtus
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia vs Igea Virtus
2:2
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia vs Igea Virtus
4:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Lamezia
1:1
Apr 19, 2009 Serie C2/C
Lamezia vs Igea Virtus
0:1
Nov 23, 2008 Serie C2/C
Igea Virtus vs Lamezia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lamezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ranieri A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cantoro T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Igea Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Tumminelli M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harper J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lamezia 38 / 100
Igea Virtus 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lamezia Igea Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lamezia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lamezia found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Igea Virtus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lamezia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lamezia VS Igea Virtus
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lamezia

(Home)
07 Oct
Lamezia
2 : 3
Gelbison
04 Oct
Lamezia
2 : 0
Castrumfavara
27 Sept
Sambiase
4 : 1
Lamezia
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3
Reggina
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
Page 1 of 6

Igea Virtus

(Away)
07 Oct
Igea Virtus
3 : 2
Reggina
04 Oct
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
Nissa
27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0
Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3
Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)