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Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lamphun Warrior host Bangkok Utd in the Thai League 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Lamphun Warrior have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Bangkok Utd's 1.44 scored and 1.18 conceded. Past meetings favor Bangkok Utd slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.25) point toward Bangkok Utd. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Lamphun Warrior
30%
Draws
58%
Bangkok Utd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bangkok Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Bangkok Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bangkok Utd a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lamphun Warrior Clean Sheet 19%
Bangkok Utd Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lamphun Warrior Bangkok Utd
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 7 14
Draws 15 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok Utd
1:1
Feb 25, 2026 Thai FA Cup
Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok Utd
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Lamphun Warrior
4:3
Jan 25, 2025 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok Utd
0:1
Sep 1, 2024 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Lamphun Warrior
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lamphun Warrior 10 / 100
Bangkok Utd 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lamphun Warrior Bangkok Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangkok Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Lamphun Warrior scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Bangkok Utd conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

Lamphun Warrior has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lamphun Warrior VS Bangkok Utd
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lamphun Warrior

(Home)
19 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
11 Sept
Port MTI FC
2 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
06 Sept
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 4
Uthai Thani
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
10 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
Page 1 of 6

Bangkok Utd

(Away)
20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2
Pathum United
11 Sept
Ratchaburi
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
05 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 1
Sisaket United
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1
Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Rayong FC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Uthai Thani 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
4 Prachuap 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
5 Bangkok Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Port MTI FC 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
7 Ayutthaya United 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
8 Pathum United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
9 Ratchaburi 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Chiangrai Utd 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Pattani 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
12 Sukhothai 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Sisaket United 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 Rasisalai United 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Chonburi 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)