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Lamphun Warrior vs Sukhothai

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Ralph
26'
Logarwit S.
48'
Baggio J.

AI Match Summary

Lamphun Warrior in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lamphun Warrior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lamphun Warrior
35%
Draws
37%
Sukhothai
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sukhothai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Lamphun Warrior average 1.19 goals a game right now, well clear of Sukhothai's 0.97.
  • Model gives Lamphun Warrior a 28% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lamphun Warrior here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lamphun Warrior Clean Sheet 20%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lamphun Warrior Sukhothai
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 15 9
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.19 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Sukhothai
3:0
Jan 14, 2026 Thai FA Cup
Lamphun Warrior vs Sukhothai
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Lamphun Warrior
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Sukhothai
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Lamphun Warrior
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lamphun Warrior Compare

Top Goalscorer Willen Mota
1 Goals
Assists Leader Osman M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sukhothai Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lamphun Warrior 49 / 100
Sukhothai 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lamphun Warrior Sukhothai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lamphun Warrior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sukhothai has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Lamphun Warrior's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Lamphun Warrior remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lamphun Warrior VS Sukhothai
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lamphun Warrior

(Home)
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
10 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0
Chiangrai Utd
26 Apr
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
11 Apr
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 2
Ratchaburi
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Sukhothai

(Away)
10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0
Sukhothai
24 Apr
Sukhothai
1 : 2
Ratchaburi
11 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 1
Sukhothai
03 Apr
Bangkok Utd
2 : 0
Sukhothai
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)