Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lancaster vs Runcorn Town

England England

FA Cup 2020/2021
Tue, Sep 22, 2020
1 - 0
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lancaster in this FA Cup 2020/2021 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Lancaster
20%
Draws
51%
Runcorn Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Runcorn Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Lancaster have won more games recently than Runcorn Town.
  • Lancaster are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Lancaster have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lancaster, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 20%
Runcorn Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lancaster Runcorn Town
Matches Played 28 16
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.32 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2020 FA Cup
Lancaster vs Runcorn Town
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lancaster 36 / 100
Runcorn Town 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lancaster Runcorn Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Runcorn Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 16 matches.

Lancaster found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Lancaster went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lancaster VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lancaster

(Home)
22 Aug
Lancaster
2 : 2
Quorn
18 Aug
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1
Lancaster
15 Aug
Lancaster
1 : 2
Hyde
11 Aug
Lancaster
1 : 0
Warrington Rylands
08 Aug
Ashton United
4 : 1
Lancaster
Page 1 of 6

Runcorn Town

(Away)
15 Jul
Runcorn Town
4 : 1
Witton Albion
15 Jul
Mold Alexandra
4 : 2
Runcorn Town
11 Jul
Runcorn Town
1 : 4
Prescot Cables
06 Jul
Runcorn Town
0 : 0
Widnes FC
26 Jun
Runcorn Town
2 : 1
Conwy Borough
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Darlington FC -
TBD -
Sunderland Ryhope 0
Prescot Cables 4
Mossley AFC 2
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Tadcaster Albion 7
Litherland REMYCA FC 2
Long Melford 1
Cheshunt 3
Cambridge City 2
Stowmarket Town 1
Hednesford 3
Long Eaton 2
West Bridgford 0
Halesowen 1
Buxton 7
Belper Town 0
Worcester 2
Stafford 3
Tavistock 2
Gosport Borough 3
TBD -
Hereford -
Stalybridge 3
Bishop Auckland 0
Longridge Town 2
Charnock Richard 0
Skelmersdale 2
Bootle 1
Lancaster 1
Runcorn Town 0
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Peterborough Sports 3
Enfield Town 2
Coggeshall Town 0
Stansted FC 1
Leamington -
TBD -
Banbury 1
Carlton Town 0
Bury Town 2
Brightlingsea 1
Harlow 0
Waltham Abbey 1
Nuneaton 2
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Bromsgrove 1
Stratford 2
Southport -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 0
Morpeth 3
Scarborough Athletic 0
Ashton United 2
Warrington Town 0
South Shields 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Coventry Sphinx 0
Ilkeston 2
Hanley Town 3
Redditch 2
Shifnal Town 0
Alvechurch 2
TBD -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
United of Manchester 6
Pontefract Collieries 2
Coalville Town 2
Sheffield FC 0
TBD -
Alfreton -
Guiseley -
TBD -
Atherton Collieries -
Bamber Bridge -
Grantham Town 3
Rushall 2
Quorn 0
Matlock 2
Brackley -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay -
Kettering -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Marske United 1
Trafford 0
Consett 1
Stockton 0
Whitley Bay 3
Witton Albion 2
TBD -
Blyth Spartans -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Notts County -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Farsley -
TBD -
Radcliffe 5
Workington 3
West Allotment Celtic 0
Hyde 5
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Westfields 1
Worksop 3
TBD -
Chester -
Bradford PA -
TBD -
TBD -
Spennymoor -
West Auckland Town 0
Runcorn Linnets 1
Frickley 0
Marine 1
Tividale 2
Nantwich 4
Barwell 3
Bedworth United 1
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beaconsfield Town 0
Harrow Borough 2
Cray Valley 3
Burgess Hill 1
Brantham 1
St Ives Town 0
Lowestoft 2
Aveley 3
Bedfont Sports 3
Lewes 1
Carshalton 5
Faversham 0
Dereham 0
Canvey Island 2
Ely City 1
Biggleswade FC 2
Kidlington 2
Salisbury 1
Yate 1
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Aylesbury United 2
Moneyfields 3
Cray Wanderers 3
Fisher 1
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Margate 1
Hayes & Yeading 2
South Park 2
Bognor Regis 3
Chipstead 2
Deal Town 1
East Grinstead Town 4
Worthing FC 3
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Chichester City 3
Cribbs 1
Cobham 1
Risborough Rangers 3
Chalfont St Peter 2
Farnborough 3
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Tiverton 2
Bideford 0
Taunton Town 5
Wantage 0
Tadley Calleva 0
Truro 1
TBD -
Hungerford -
Boston United -
TBD -
AFC Mansfield 3
Gainsborough 0
Merstham 2
AFC Dunstable 3
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
Corinthian 3
Sevenoaks 1
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Walthamstow FC 1
Margaretsbury 0
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Hornchurch 3
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Hashtag 2
Soham 1
TBD -
Braintree -
FC Haverhill Rovers 0
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Grays 3
Potton United 1
Haringey Borough 5
Tunbridge Wells 1
Chertsey Town 1
Leatherhead 0
Ashford United 1
Bracknell Town 4
Frimley Green 1
Marlow 2
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haywards Heath 0
Hanwell Town 1
Hartley Wintney 5
Erith & Belvedere 0
Barking 6
Dunstable Town 1
Kings Langley 2
FC Clacton 1
Leighton Town 4
Mildenhall 0
Leiston 5
Biggleswade Town 1
Chasetown 2
Basford Utd. 1
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnet -
Weymouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cinderford Town 2
Royal Wootton 3
TBD -
Oxford City -
Tamworth 4
Stourbridge 3
Daventry 0
Evesham 2
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Steyning Town 0
Sheppey United 5
TBD -
Welling -
Christchurch 2
Dorchester 1
TBD -
Gloucester City -
Little Common 0
Corinthian-Casuals 3
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cowes 0
Weston-super-Mare 5
Swindon Supermarine 3
Shepton Mallet 0
Frome Town 4
AFC Stoneham 1
Larkhall 3
Bitton 2
Saltash United 3
Cirencester 1
Fairford 1
Sholing 2
Sutton Common Rovers 1
Metropolitan Police 3
Staines 1
Walton Casuals 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
Slough Town -
Bath City -
TBD -
Winchester City 3
Clevedon 2
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
Horsham FC 2
Kingstonian 1
Wingate & Finchley 1
Folkestone 4
Chatham 3
Southall FC 2
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnstaple Town 2
Wimborne 3
Highworth 1
Melksham 2
Crawley Down Gatwick 1
Hendon 2
TBD -
Maidstone -
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Welwyn Garden 1
Stortford 2
New Salamis FC 1
Brentwood 2
Royston Town 2
Wroxham 0
Stamford 4
Sudbury 0
St. Albans -
TBD -
Hitchin 3
Needham Market 0
Leek Town 1
Mickleover 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Newark 5
Burnham FC 1
Northwood 0
Whyteleafe 2
Binfield 0
Concord Rangers -
TBD -
Potters 1
East Thurrock Utd 0
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Hastings 1
Chesham 0
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Merthyr Town -
Poole Town -
Chorley -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Whitby 1
Warrington Rylands 2
TBD -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
Darlington FC 3
Prescot Cables 2
Mossley AFC 1
Tadcaster Albion 2
Cheshunt 1
Cambridge City 2
Hednesford 0
Halesowen 1
Buxton 0
Stafford 1
Gosport Borough 1
Hereford 3
Stalybridge 2
Longridge Town 3
Skelmersdale 2
Lancaster 1
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Peterborough Sports 4
Stansted FC 2
Leamington 0
Banbury 1
Bury Town 4
Waltham Abbey 1
Nuneaton 2
Stratford 1
Southport 2
Morpeth 1
Ashton United 0
South Shields 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Ilkeston 4
Hanley Town 1
Alvechurch 3
Kidderminster 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Curzon Ashton 1
United of Manchester 2
Coalville Town 1
Alfreton 2
Guiseley 4
Atherton Collieries 0
Grantham Town 0
Matlock 1
Brackley 3
Billericay 2
Kettering 2
Chelmsford 0
Marske United 6
Consett 0
Whitley Bay 2
Blyth Spartans 4
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Notts County -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Farsley 2
Radcliffe 1
Hyde 2
AFC Fylde 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Worksop 2
Chester 3
Bradford PA 1
Spennymoor 3
Runcorn Linnets 1
Marine 2
Nantwich 1
Barwell 0
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrow Borough 1
Cray Valley 5
Brantham 0
Aveley 3
Bedfont Sports 2
Carshalton 0
Canvey Island 3
Biggleswade FC 2
Kidlington 1
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Moneyfields 2
Cray Wanderers 6
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading 5
Bognor Regis 0
Chipstead 1
East Grinstead Town 0
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Chichester City 2
Risborough Rangers 1
Farnborough 0
Tonbridge 1
Tiverton 3
Taunton Town 5
Truro 4
Hungerford 0
Boston United 4
AFC Mansfield 2
AFC Dunstable 1
Hemel Hempstead 2
Corinthian 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
Walthamstow FC 0
Hornchurch 2
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Hashtag 1
Braintree 2
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Grays 2
Haringey Borough 2
Chertsey Town 0
Bracknell Town 3
Marlow 2
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hanwell Town 3
Hartley Wintney 5
Barking 3
Kings Langley 2
Leighton Town 1
Leiston 2
Chasetown 1
Telford 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnet -
Weymouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Royal Wootton 1
Oxford City 2
Tamworth 3
Evesham 1
Dorking Wanderers 3
Eastbourne Borough 4
Sheppey United 2
Welling 0
Christchurch 2
Gloucester City 1
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare 3
Swindon Supermarine 2
Frome Town 1
Larkhall 2
Saltash United 1
Sholing 3
Metropolitan Police 1
Walton Casuals 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Dartford 0
Slough Town 1
Bath City 3
Winchester City 2
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Horsham FC 1
Folkestone 0
Chatham 3
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wimborne 1
Melksham 0
Hendon 0
Maidstone 1
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Stortford 1
Brentwood 0
Royston Town 3
Stamford 2
St. Albans 5
Hitchin 0
Mickleover 4
Newark 1
Burnham FC 1
Whyteleafe 3
Concord Rangers 2
Potters 1
Ebbsfleet 3
Hastings 2
Chippenham Town 3
Poole Town 2
Chorley 2
Gateshead 1
Warrington Rylands 0
York City 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Darlington FC 6
Tadcaster Albion 1
Cambridge City 2
Halesowen 0
Stafford 3
Hereford 1
Longridge Town 0
Skelmersdale 1
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Peterborough Sports 1
Banbury 2
Bury Town 2
Nuneaton 0
Southport 1
South Shields 2
TBD -
Halifax -
Ilkeston 1
Alvechurch 0
TBD -
Hartlepool -
United of Manchester -
Alfreton -
Guiseley 2
Matlock 0
Brackley -
Kettering -
Marske United 1
Blyth Spartans 0
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
Notts County -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Farsley 1
AFC Fylde 3
TBD -
Altrincham -
Chester 3
Spennymoor 1
Marine 4
Nantwich 1
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Cray Valley 2
Aveley 0
Bedfont Sports 0
Canvey Island 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Cray Wanderers 4
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading 1
Chipstead 0
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Chichester City 1
Tonbridge 2
Taunton Town 4
Truro 2
Boston United -
Hemel Hempstead -
Hampton & Richmond 3
Hornchurch 2
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Braintree 0
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Haringey Borough 5
Bracknell Town 1
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
Hartley Wintney 3
Barking 1
Leiston 1
Telford 0
TBD -
Barnet -
Weymouth -
TBD -
Oxford City 6
Tamworth 1
Eastbourne Borough 3
Sheppey United 1
Christchurch 1
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare 6
Larkhall 0
Sholing 5
Walton Casuals 2
TBD -
Torquay -
Slough Town 0
Bath City 1
Havant & Waterlooville 4
Chatham 1
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
Wimborne 3
Maidstone 2
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Stortford 3
Royston Town 0
St. Albans 2
Mickleover 1
Whyteleafe 1
Concord Rangers 2
Ebbsfleet 1
Chippenham Town 2
Chorley 1
York City 0
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Darlington FC 2
Cambridge City 0
Stafford 1
Skelmersdale 4
Solihull Moors 4
Wrexham 0
Banbury 2
Bury Town 1
South Shields 2
Halifax 0
Ilkeston 0
Hartlepool 6
United of Manchester 2
Guiseley 1
Brackley 5
Marske United 1
King’s Lynn -
Notts County -
Stockport County 4
Chesterfield 0
AFC Fylde 2
Altrincham 1
Chester 0
Marine 1
Maidenhead 2
Cray Valley 3
Canvey Island 3
Cray Wanderers 2
Wealdstone 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Sutton 0
Bromley 1
Tonbridge 5
Taunton Town 0
Hemel Hempstead 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
Aldershot 1
Woking 2
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Haringey Borough 0
Dagenham & Red. 1
Hartley Wintney 0
Leiston 2
Barnet 3
Weymouth 2
Oxford City 3
Eastbourne Borough 1
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Eastleigh 3
Weston-super-Mare 1
Sholing 0
Torquay 2
Bath City 0
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Boreham Wood 2
Wimborne 0
Yeovil 4
Dover Ath. 3
Stortford 2
St. Albans 0
Concord Rangers 2
Chippenham Town 1
Chorley -
TBD -