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Lanciano FC vs Recanatese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Verna C.
10' Event
Own Goal
32' Event
Marras N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Lanciano FC and Recanatese finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lanciano FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lanciano FC
30%
Draws
29%
Recanatese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lanciano FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Recanatese come out ahead of Lanciano FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lanciano FC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Lanciano FC Clean Sheet 68%
Recanatese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanciano FC Recanatese
Matches Played 9 29
Wins 2 7
Draws 1 10
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.28
Goals Conceded 2 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Lanciano FC vs Recanatese
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanciano FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Verna C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Di Filippo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Recanatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Marras N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanciano FC 59 / 100
Recanatese 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanciano FC Recanatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanciano FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Recanatese conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Lanciano FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Lanciano FC scored in 56% of their last 9 games.

Scoring Trends

Lanciano FC VS Recanatese
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanciano FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Termoli
2 : 0
Lanciano FC
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1
Recanatese
20 Sept
Fossombrone
2 : 4
Lanciano FC
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0
Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 2

Recanatese

(Away)
04 Oct
Recanatese
2 : 3
Maceratese
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1
Recanatese
20 Sept
Recanatese
0 : 0
Montecchio Gallo
16 Sept
Recanatese
4 : 1
Foligno
12 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 1
Recanatese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Teramo 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
3 Vigor Senigallia 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Foligno 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
5 Ancona 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Fossombrone 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
7 Notaresco Calcio 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
8 Montecchio Gallo 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Santegidiese 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Giulianova 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
11 Lanciano FC 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
12 Termoli 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
13 Maceratese 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Atletico Ascoli 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Recanatese 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
16 Angelana 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
17 Sporting Trestina 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
18 Pietralunga 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)