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Lanciano FC vs Vigor Senigallia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Pesaresi D.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Celani N.
59' Event
D'Eramo M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Lanciano FC and Vigor Senigallia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vigor Senigallia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lanciano FC
20%
Draws
47%
Vigor Senigallia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vigor Senigallia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Lanciano FC haven't matched Vigor Senigallia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lanciano FC a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Lanciano FC Clean Sheet 10%
Vigor Senigallia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanciano FC Vigor Senigallia
Matches Played 9 28
Wins 2 12
Draws 1 10
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.33 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Lanciano FC vs Vigor Senigallia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanciano FC Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Eramo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Vigor Senigallia Compare

Top Goalscorer Celani N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanciano FC 38 / 100
Vigor Senigallia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanciano FC Vigor Senigallia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanciano FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vigor Senigallia has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Lanciano FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lanciano FC scored in 56% of their last 9 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lanciano FC VS Vigor Senigallia
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanciano FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Termoli
2 : 0
Lanciano FC
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1
Recanatese
20 Sept
Fossombrone
2 : 4
Lanciano FC
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0
Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 2

Vigor Senigallia

(Away)
04 Oct
Teramo
6 : 4
Vigor Senigallia
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0
Fossombrone
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0
Giulianova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Teramo 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
3 Vigor Senigallia 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Foligno 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
5 Ancona 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Notaresco Calcio 7 3 2 2 8:7 11
7 Fossombrone 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
8 Montecchio Gallo 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Santegidiese 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Giulianova 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
11 Lanciano FC 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
12 Termoli 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
13 Maceratese 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Atletico Ascoli 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Recanatese 7 1 3 3 9:11 6
16 Angelana 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
17 Sporting Trestina 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
18 Pietralunga 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)