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Langreo vs Astur

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2015/2016 game between Langreo and Astur finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Langreo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Langreo
15%
Draws
26%
Astur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Langreo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Langreo come out ahead of Astur on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Langreo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Langreo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Langreo Clean Sheet 20%
Astur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Langreo Astur
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 3
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.47 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.58 0.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Langreo
1:5
Sep 20, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Langreo vs Astur
3:1
Feb 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Langreo vs Astur
3:0
Oct 11, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Langreo
1:3
Feb 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Langreo vs Astur
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Langreo 40 / 100
Astur 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Langreo Astur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Langreo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Langreo scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Langreo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Langreo VS Astur
1.5 Goals Scored 0.33
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.67
50% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Langreo

(Home)
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2
Covadonga
06 Sept
Union Club Ceares
2 : 1
Langreo
11 Aug
Marino De Luanco
6 : 1
Langreo
08 Aug
Llanes
2 : 3
Langreo
05 Aug
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Langreo
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Astur

(Away)
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
29 Oct
Astur
1 : 4
Valladolid
09 Oct
Astur
2 : 0
Promesas EDF
15 May
Union Club Ceares
2 : 1
Astur
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caudal Deportivo 38 31 5 2 86:12 98
2 Langreo 38 28 6 4 96:25 90
3 Real Aviles 38 28 5 5 77:18 89
4 Marino De Luanco 38 20 8 10 55:23 68
5 Tuilla 38 19 10 9 66:39 67
6 CD Colunga 38 21 3 14 60:54 66
7 Real Oviedo B 38 18 8 12 63:42 62
8 Condal 38 17 9 12 50:47 60
9 Llanes 38 16 9 13 54:47 57
10 Union Club Ceares 38 13 6 19 42:60 45
11 Covadonga 38 13 6 19 35:51 45
12 Atletico de Lugones 38 9 14 15 33:55 41
13 CD Mosconia 38 11 7 20 36:57 40
14 Praviano 38 10 10 18 39:65 40
15 CD Tineo 38 10 9 19 40:63 39
16 Club Siero 38 10 8 20 37:63 38
17 Basico Urraca 38 8 12 18 34:47 36
18 Gijon Industrial 38 6 13 19 34:68 31
19 Astur 38 6 6 26 34:92 24
20 CD Roces 38 4 10 24 19:62 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)